Recent June polling has kept the 2026 Ohio special Senate contest tightly balanced, with Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted trading narrow leads or statistical ties across major surveys. Husted benefits from incumbency after his 2025 appointment, while Brown draws on prior statewide experience and stronger support among independents, moderates, suburban voters, and women in several cross-tabs. Both candidates secured nominations without significant primary challenges in May. The even trader consensus reflects these offsetting structural factors and mixed early results, with separation likely hinging on fall campaign spending, turnout patterns in key regions, and any late shifts in the national environment before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$116,484 Vol.
$116,484 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
52%
Jon Husted (R)
49%
$116,484 Vol.
$116,484 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
$68,005 Vol.
52%
Jon Husted (R)
$48,479 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent June polling has kept the 2026 Ohio special Senate contest tightly balanced, with Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted trading narrow leads or statistical ties across major surveys. Husted benefits from incumbency after his 2025 appointment, while Brown draws on prior statewide experience and stronger support among independents, moderates, suburban voters, and women in several cross-tabs. Both candidates secured nominations without significant primary challenges in May. The even trader consensus reflects these offsetting structural factors and mixed early results, with separation likely hinging on fall campaign spending, turnout patterns in key regions, and any late shifts in the national environment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$116,484End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent June polling has kept the 2026 Ohio special Senate contest tightly balanced, with Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted trading narrow leads or statistical ties across major surveys. Husted benefits from incumbency after his 2025 appointment, while Brown draws on prior statewide experience and stronger support among independents, moderates, suburban voters, and women in several cross-tabs. Both candidates secured nominations without significant primary challenges in May. The even trader consensus reflects these offsetting structural factors and mixed early results, with separation likely hinging on fall campaign spending, turnout patterns in key regions, and any late shifts in the national environment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$116,484End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent June polling has kept the 2026 Ohio special Senate contest tightly balanced, with Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted trading narrow leads or statistical ties across major surveys. Husted benefits from incumbency after his 2025 appointment, while Brown draws on prior statewide experience and stronger support among independents, moderates, suburban voters, and women in several cross-tabs. Both candidates secured nominations without significant primary challenges in May. The even trader consensus reflects these offsetting structural factors and mixed early results, with separation likely hinging on fall campaign spending, turnout patterns in key regions, and any late shifts in the national environment before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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