Brown maintains a modest but consistent lead in recent Ohio polling averages, typically 47-49% to Jon Husted’s 42-45%, reflecting the Democrat’s strong statewide name recognition and appeal among working-class voters even after his 2024 defeat. The special election for the seat vacated by Vice President JD Vance occurs amid a midterm environment where Democrats seek net Senate gains, boosting trader consensus on Brown’s prospects despite Ohio’s Republican tilt. Heavy outside spending, including crypto-backed PAC commitments exceeding $30 million against Brown, and attacks on issues like data centers and immigration have not yet shifted the race ratings, which remain toss-ups or slight leans toward the Democrat. November 3 voting and turnout patterns will determine the outcome in this high-stakes contest for chamber control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOhio Senate Election Winner
Ohio Senate Election Winner
$700,256 Vol.
$700,256 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
63%
Jon Husted (R)
37%
$700,256 Vol.
$700,256 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
$400,893 Vol.
63%
Jon Husted (R)
$299,363 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Brown maintains a modest but consistent lead in recent Ohio polling averages, typically 47-49% to Jon Husted’s 42-45%, reflecting the Democrat’s strong statewide name recognition and appeal among working-class voters even after his 2024 defeat. The special election for the seat vacated by Vice President JD Vance occurs amid a midterm environment where Democrats seek net Senate gains, boosting trader consensus on Brown’s prospects despite Ohio’s Republican tilt. Heavy outside spending, including crypto-backed PAC commitments exceeding $30 million against Brown, and attacks on issues like data centers and immigration have not yet shifted the race ratings, which remain toss-ups or slight leans toward the Democrat. November 3 voting and turnout patterns will determine the outcome in this high-stakes contest for chamber control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$700,256End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Brown maintains a modest but consistent lead in recent Ohio polling averages, typically 47-49% to Jon Husted’s 42-45%, reflecting the Democrat’s strong statewide name recognition and appeal among working-class voters even after his 2024 defeat. The special election for the seat vacated by Vice President JD Vance occurs amid a midterm environment where Democrats seek net Senate gains, boosting trader consensus on Brown’s prospects despite Ohio’s Republican tilt. Heavy outside spending, including crypto-backed PAC commitments exceeding $30 million against Brown, and attacks on issues like data centers and immigration have not yet shifted the race ratings, which remain toss-ups or slight leans toward the Democrat. November 3 voting and turnout patterns will determine the outcome in this high-stakes contest for chamber control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$700,256End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brown maintains a modest but consistent lead in recent Ohio polling averages, typically 47-49% to Jon Husted’s 42-45%, reflecting the Democrat’s strong statewide name recognition and appeal among working-class voters even after his 2024 defeat. The special election for the seat vacated by Vice President JD Vance occurs amid a midterm environment where Democrats seek net Senate gains, boosting trader consensus on Brown’s prospects despite Ohio’s Republican tilt. Heavy outside spending, including crypto-backed PAC commitments exceeding $30 million against Brown, and attacks on issues like data centers and immigration have not yet shifted the race ratings, which remain toss-ups or slight leans toward the Democrat. November 3 voting and turnout patterns will determine the outcome in this high-stakes contest for chamber control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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