Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads trader pricing in Alaska’s 2026 open gubernatorial race following his first-place finish in the August top-four primary and subsequent consolidation of Democratic support. Former state Sen. Tom Begich, who placed second, withdrew and endorsed him, leaving Kreiss-Tomkins as the sole Democrat against three Republicans in the ranked-choice general election. Bernadette Wilson, the top Republican primary finisher, remains the leading GOP option at lower odds, while Dave Bronson and Treg Taylor split the remaining conservative vote. Recent polls show Kreiss-Tomkins ahead, and the race has shifted to toss-up status amid the divided Republican field and voter fatigue with the term-limited incumbent administration.