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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 22%

Treg Taylor 13.2%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$741,401 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 22%

Treg Taylor 13.2%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$741,401 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$95,243 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$130,337 Vol.

22%

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Treg Taylor

$3,725 Vol.

13%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$534 Vol.

13%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,374 Vol.

9%

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Click Bishop

$2,460 Vol.

8%

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Matt Heilala

$23,956 Vol.

4%

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Mary Peltola

$319,955 Vol.

3%

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Bruce Walden

$449 Vol.

2%

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David Bronson

$2,426 Vol.

2%

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Shelley Hughes

$2,944 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,775 Vol.

1%

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Edna DeVries

$2,629 Vol.

1%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,545 Vol.

1%

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Matt Claman

$169 Vol.

1%

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Hank Kroll

$316 Vol.

<1%

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James Parkin

$23,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability to win, edging conservative activist Bernadette Wilson at 22.5%, amid a fragmented field of over a dozen filed candidates vying for the top four spots in the August 18 nonpartisan primary ahead of the ranked-choice general election. This tight contest reflects early-stage uncertainty, with February fundraising reports revealing competitive six-figure hauls for both—Begich at $350,000 mostly from in-state donors and Wilson undisclosed but viable—yet no public polls to consolidate support. Recent GOP straw polls, like one in Kenai favoring Wilson, and candidate forums in Mat-Su underscore base enthusiasm without broader separation; upcoming debates, endorsements, or Lt. Gov. pairings could tip the balance toward primary advancement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$741,401
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability to win, edging conservative activist Bernadette Wilson at 22.5%, amid a fragmented field of over a dozen filed candidates vying for the top four spots in the August 18 nonpartisan primary ahead of the ranked-choice general election. This tight contest reflects early-stage uncertainty, with February fundraising reports revealing competitive six-figure hauls for both—Begich at $350,000 mostly from in-state donors and Wilson undisclosed but viable—yet no public polls to consolidate support. Recent GOP straw polls, like one in Kenai favoring Wilson, and candidate forums in Mat-Su underscore base enthusiasm without broader separation; upcoming debates, endorsements, or Lt. Gov. pairings could tip the balance toward primary advancement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$741,401
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Related

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Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

62%
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Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

47%
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Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

80%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 25%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $741.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Tom Begich" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.