Cory Booker enters the November 2026 general election as the heavy favorite due to New Jersey’s consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, his status as a three-term incumbent with broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $22 million. The state last elected a Republican senator in 1972, and forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor who secured the Republican nomination in the June primary with 33 percent of the vote, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the absence of general-election polling showing meaningful movement. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts, turnout surprises, or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Jersey Senate Election Winner
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
$21,189 Vol.
$21,189 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Cory Booker (D)
97%
Justin Murphy (R)
3%
$21,189 Vol.
$21,189 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Cory Booker (D)
$11,495 Vol.
97%
Justin Murphy (R)
$9,694 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker enters the November 2026 general election as the heavy favorite due to New Jersey’s consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, his status as a three-term incumbent with broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $22 million. The state last elected a Republican senator in 1972, and forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor who secured the Republican nomination in the June primary with 33 percent of the vote, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the absence of general-election polling showing meaningful movement. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts, turnout surprises, or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,189End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker enters the November 2026 general election as the heavy favorite due to New Jersey’s consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, his status as a three-term incumbent with broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $22 million. The state last elected a Republican senator in 1972, and forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor who secured the Republican nomination in the June primary with 33 percent of the vote, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the absence of general-election polling showing meaningful movement. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts, turnout surprises, or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$21,189End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Cory Booker enters the November 2026 general election as the heavy favorite due to New Jersey’s consistent Democratic tilt in recent cycles, his status as a three-term incumbent with broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $22 million. The state last elected a Republican senator in 1972, and forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Justin Murphy, a former Tabernacle deputy mayor who secured the Republican nomination in the June primary with 33 percent of the vote, faces structural headwinds including limited campaign resources and the absence of general-election polling showing meaningful movement. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as national shifts, turnout surprises, or candidate-specific events within the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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