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icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
选举·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
选举·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 94.0%

Clint Twedt-Ball 2.5%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Guy Morgan <1%

Polymarket

$12,004 交易量

Lindsay James 94.0%

Clint Twedt-Ball 2.5%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Guy Morgan <1%

Polymarket

$12,004 交易量

Lindsay James

$5,561 交易量

94%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,972 交易量

3%

Kathy Dolter

$1,975 交易量

2%

Guy Morgan

$1,314 交易量

<1%

Don Primus

$1,182 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lindsay James holds a commanding lead in the Iowa 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her four terms in the state House, representing Dubuque County, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $708,000 compared to roughly $465,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball and $54,000 for Kathy Dolter. The June 2 primary occurs in an open seat previously held by Republican Ashley Hinson, who is seeking a U.S. Senate nomination. Recent candidate forums and debates have highlighted differences in backgrounds—state legislative service for James, nonprofit leadership for Twedt-Ball, and nursing education experience for Dolter—yet trader consensus aligns with James's established visibility and resources. Other candidates would require significant late momentum or unexpected shifts in voter turnout to close the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,004
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lindsay James holds a commanding lead in the Iowa 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her four terms in the state House, representing Dubuque County, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $708,000 compared to roughly $465,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball and $54,000 for Kathy Dolter. The June 2 primary occurs in an open seat previously held by Republican Ashley Hinson, who is seeking a U.S. Senate nomination. Recent candidate forums and debates have highlighted differences in backgrounds—state legislative service for James, nonprofit leadership for Twedt-Ball, and nursing education experience for Dolter—yet trader consensus aligns with James's established visibility and resources. Other candidates would require significant late momentum or unexpected shifts in voter turnout to close the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$12,004
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Lindsay James"，概率为 94%，其次是"Clint Twedt-Ball"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner"已产生 $12K 的总交易量（自Feb 25, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"Lindsay James"，概率为 94%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"Clint Twedt-Ball"，概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。