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TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Justin Pearson 90%

DeVante Hill 5.6%

Steve Cohen 2.6%

Polymarket

$11,095 Vol.

Justin Pearson 90%

DeVante Hill 5.6%

Steve Cohen 2.6%

Polymarket

$11,095 Vol.

Justin Pearson

$2,835 Vol.

90%

DeVante Hill

$547 Vol.

6%

Steve Cohen

$7,713 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Justin Pearson holds a commanding lead in the TN-09 Democratic primary trader consensus following U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen’s withdrawal after May 2026 redistricting shifted the Memphis-centered district toward a more competitive partisan balance. Pearson, a state representative who launched his challenge in October 2025, benefits from early organization, name recognition from prior activism, and endorsements that have consolidated support among Democratic primary voters. Other declared candidates including London Lamar and DeVante Hill remain on the August 6 ballot but trail significantly in fundraising and visibility. The open-seat dynamic and compressed timeline to the primary have reinforced Pearson’s frontrunner status in the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,095
Data de Término
6 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Justin Pearson holds a commanding lead in the TN-09 Democratic primary trader consensus following U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen’s withdrawal after May 2026 redistricting shifted the Memphis-centered district toward a more competitive partisan balance. Pearson, a state representative who launched his challenge in October 2025, benefits from early organization, name recognition from prior activism, and endorsements that have consolidated support among Democratic primary voters. Other declared candidates including London Lamar and DeVante Hill remain on the August 6 ballot but trail significantly in fundraising and visibility. The open-seat dynamic and compressed timeline to the primary have reinforced Pearson’s frontrunner status in the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,095
Data de Término
6 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Pearson" at 90%, followed by "DeVante Hill" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Justin Pearson" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "DeVante Hill" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.