Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 88.5% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan leanings, Democratic voter registration edge, and historical dominance—Republicans last held the governorship in 1987—despite incumbent Tina Kotek's sagging approval. A late-April DHM Research poll in the Portland metro area revealed Kotek's favorability at just 33% positive amid voter frustration with housing costs, homelessness, and public safety, even tepid Democratic support at 48% positive. On May 12, Republican candidate Chris Dudley claimed Kotek urged him to drop out in a private call, which her team denied, spotlighting GOP ambitions six days before the May 19 primaries where Kotek faces token opposition and Christine Drazan leads Republican polls at 36% average. Early February general election polls showed Kotek ahead by 5-10 points against top GOP contenders, reinforcing trader skepticism of a Republican upset absent major scandals or turnout shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
89%
Republican
12%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$7,557 Vol.
89%
Republican
$6,585 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 88.5% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan leanings, Democratic voter registration edge, and historical dominance—Republicans last held the governorship in 1987—despite incumbent Tina Kotek's sagging approval. A late-April DHM Research poll in the Portland metro area revealed Kotek's favorability at just 33% positive amid voter frustration with housing costs, homelessness, and public safety, even tepid Democratic support at 48% positive. On May 12, Republican candidate Chris Dudley claimed Kotek urged him to drop out in a private call, which her team denied, spotlighting GOP ambitions six days before the May 19 primaries where Kotek faces token opposition and Christine Drazan leads Republican polls at 36% average. Early February general election polls showed Kotek ahead by 5-10 points against top GOP contenders, reinforcing trader skepticism of a Republican upset absent major scandals or turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$14,142End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 88.5% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan leanings, Democratic voter registration edge, and historical dominance—Republicans last held the governorship in 1987—despite incumbent Tina Kotek's sagging approval. A late-April DHM Research poll in the Portland metro area revealed Kotek's favorability at just 33% positive amid voter frustration with housing costs, homelessness, and public safety, even tepid Democratic support at 48% positive. On May 12, Republican candidate Chris Dudley claimed Kotek urged him to drop out in a private call, which her team denied, spotlighting GOP ambitions six days before the May 19 primaries where Kotek faces token opposition and Christine Drazan leads Republican polls at 36% average. Early February general election polls showed Kotek ahead by 5-10 points against top GOP contenders, reinforcing trader skepticism of a Republican upset absent major scandals or turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,142End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 88.5% in the Oregon gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan leanings, Democratic voter registration edge, and historical dominance—Republicans last held the governorship in 1987—despite incumbent Tina Kotek's sagging approval. A late-April DHM Research poll in the Portland metro area revealed Kotek's favorability at just 33% positive amid voter frustration with housing costs, homelessness, and public safety, even tepid Democratic support at 48% positive. On May 12, Republican candidate Chris Dudley claimed Kotek urged him to drop out in a private call, which her team denied, spotlighting GOP ambitions six days before the May 19 primaries where Kotek faces token opposition and Christine Drazan leads Republican polls at 36% average. Early February general election polls showed Kotek ahead by 5-10 points against top GOP contenders, reinforcing trader skepticism of a Republican upset absent major scandals or turnout shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions