Trader consensus slightly favors Democrats flipping the Senate majority in the 2026 midterms, elevating Chuck Schumer's implied probability ahead of incumbent Republican leader John Thune amid a narrow 53-47 GOP edge vulnerable in battleground states like Maine and North Carolina. Recent intra-party frustration with Thune—over stalling House-passed bills such as the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility proof and 34 unfilled federal judgeships—has fueled calls from conservatives and Rep. John Rose for his ouster, boosting Tom Cotton as a more assertive alternative. Historical midterm losses for the president's party keep the race tight; primaries, retirements, and polling shifts in key races could widen gaps before the November 3 election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoChuck Schumer 24%
John Thune 22%
Tom Cotton 15.3%
Brian Schatz 10%
$62,896 Vol.
$62,896 Vol.
3 gen 2027
Chuck Schumer
24%
John Thune
22%
Tom Cotton
15%
Brian Schatz
10%
Amy Klobuchar
5%
Mark Kelly
4%
Steve Daines
4%
Cory Booker
3%
John Barrasso
3%
Lindsey Graham
2%
Patty Murray
2%
Chuck Schumer 24%
John Thune 22%
Tom Cotton 15.3%
Brian Schatz 10%
$62,896 Vol.
$62,896 Vol.
3 gen 2027
Chuck Schumer
$7,845 Vol.
24%
John Thune
$2,183 Vol.
22%
Tom Cotton
$5,565 Vol.
15%
Brian Schatz
$2,262 Vol.
10%
Amy Klobuchar
$3,036 Vol.
5%
Mark Kelly
$2,839 Vol.
4%
Steve Daines
$21,677 Vol.
4%
Cory Booker
$2,022 Vol.
3%
John Barrasso
$2,394 Vol.
3%
Lindsey Graham
$11,032 Vol.
2%
Patty Murray
$2,040 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus slightly favors Democrats flipping the Senate majority in the 2026 midterms, elevating Chuck Schumer's implied probability ahead of incumbent Republican leader John Thune amid a narrow 53-47 GOP edge vulnerable in battleground states like Maine and North Carolina. Recent intra-party frustration with Thune—over stalling House-passed bills such as the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility proof and 34 unfilled federal judgeships—has fueled calls from conservatives and Rep. John Rose for his ouster, boosting Tom Cotton as a more assertive alternative. Historical midterm losses for the president's party keep the race tight; primaries, retirements, and polling shifts in key races could widen gaps before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Mercato aperto: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$62,896Data di fine
3 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus slightly favors Democrats flipping the Senate majority in the 2026 midterms, elevating Chuck Schumer's implied probability ahead of incumbent Republican leader John Thune amid a narrow 53-47 GOP edge vulnerable in battleground states like Maine and North Carolina. Recent intra-party frustration with Thune—over stalling House-passed bills such as the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility proof and 34 unfilled federal judgeships—has fueled calls from conservatives and Rep. John Rose for his ouster, boosting Tom Cotton as a more assertive alternative. Historical midterm losses for the president's party keep the race tight; primaries, retirements, and polling shifts in key races could widen gaps before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$62,896Data di fine
3 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Democrats flipping the Senate majority in the 2026 midterms, elevating Chuck Schumer's implied probability ahead of incumbent Republican leader John Thune amid a narrow 53-47 GOP edge vulnerable in battleground states like Maine and North Carolina. Recent intra-party frustration with Thune—over stalling House-passed bills such as the SAVE America Act on voter eligibility proof and 34 unfilled federal judgeships—has fueled calls from conservatives and Rep. John Rose for his ouster, boosting Tom Cotton as a more assertive alternative. Historical midterm losses for the president's party keep the race tight; primaries, retirements, and polling shifts in key races could widen gaps before the November 3 election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti