Both Georgia Democratic senators maintain firm holds on their seats through the end of 2026. Jon Ossoff’s term runs until January 2027 and he advanced unopposed in the May primary before facing Republican Mike Collins in the November general election, with recent polling and fundraising data showing a competitive but stable position for the incumbent. Raphael Warnock’s term extends to 2029 and faces no electoral test this cycle. No credible reports indicate either senator plans to resign, accept a cabinet post, or otherwise depart before December 31. Trader consensus at 96 percent for “No” reflects these structural term dates and the absence of recent political catalysts that would trigger early vacancies. Late developments such as serious health issues, major scandals, or unexpected executive appointments remain the primary, though low-probability, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
Sì
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Both Georgia Democratic senators maintain firm holds on their seats through the end of 2026. Jon Ossoff’s term runs until January 2027 and he advanced unopposed in the May primary before facing Republican Mike Collins in the November general election, with recent polling and fundraising data showing a competitive but stable position for the incumbent. Raphael Warnock’s term extends to 2029 and faces no electoral test this cycle. No credible reports indicate either senator plans to resign, accept a cabinet post, or otherwise depart before December 31. Trader consensus at 96 percent for “No” reflects these structural term dates and the absence of recent political catalysts that would trigger early vacancies. Late developments such as serious health issues, major scandals, or unexpected executive appointments remain the primary, though low-probability, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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