Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's recent filing for re-election on March 16, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a massive $13 million war chest, solidifies trader consensus pricing Republicans at 80.5% to retain South Carolina's Senate seat in the deep-red state. Early general election polls, including a February 25–March 1 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect his incumbency edge despite some GOP base dissatisfaction. Fragmented Democratic primary fields and Republican challengers like Paul Dans and well-funded Mark Lynch face long odds in the June 9 primaries, per ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe R). With filing deadline tomorrow, no seismic shifts have emerged to challenge the historical Republican stronghold since Democrats' last win in 1998.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$13,311 Vol.
$13,311 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
20%
$13,311 Vol.
$13,311 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$5,439 Vol.
81%
Democrat
$7,872 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's recent filing for re-election on March 16, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a massive $13 million war chest, solidifies trader consensus pricing Republicans at 80.5% to retain South Carolina's Senate seat in the deep-red state. Early general election polls, including a February 25–March 1 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect his incumbency edge despite some GOP base dissatisfaction. Fragmented Democratic primary fields and Republican challengers like Paul Dans and well-funded Mark Lynch face long odds in the June 9 primaries, per ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe R). With filing deadline tomorrow, no seismic shifts have emerged to challenge the historical Republican stronghold since Democrats' last win in 1998.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$13,311End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's recent filing for re-election on March 16, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a massive $13 million war chest, solidifies trader consensus pricing Republicans at 80.5% to retain South Carolina's Senate seat in the deep-red state. Early general election polls, including a February 25–March 1 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect his incumbency edge despite some GOP base dissatisfaction. Fragmented Democratic primary fields and Republican challengers like Paul Dans and well-funded Mark Lynch face long odds in the June 9 primaries, per ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe R). With filing deadline tomorrow, no seismic shifts have emerged to challenge the historical Republican stronghold since Democrats' last win in 1998.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,311End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's recent filing for re-election on March 16, backed by President Trump's endorsement and a massive $13 million war chest, solidifies trader consensus pricing Republicans at 80.5% to retain South Carolina's Senate seat in the deep-red state. Early general election polls, including a February 25–March 1 Impact Research survey showing Graham leading Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect his incumbency edge despite some GOP base dissatisfaction. Fragmented Democratic primary fields and Republican challengers like Paul Dans and well-funded Mark Lynch face long odds in the June 9 primaries, per ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid R) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe R). With filing deadline tomorrow, no seismic shifts have emerged to challenge the historical Republican stronghold since Democrats' last win in 1998.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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