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Política·Trump

NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial

icon for NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial
Política·Trump

NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial

Analilia Mejia 100.0%

Joe Hathaway <1%

Alan Bond <1%

Polymarket

$44,403 Vol.

Analilia Mejia 100.0%

Joe Hathaway <1%

Alan Bond <1%

Polymarket

$44,403 Vol.

Joe Hathaway

$8,396 Vol.

Não

Analilia Mejia

$24,385 Vol.

Sim

Alan Bond

$11,623 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.Analilia Mejia's commanding position in the NJ-11 special election market stems from her decisive victory in the April 16, 2026, general election to fill the vacancy left by Gov. Mikie Sherrill, with major outlets like the Associated Press and New Jersey Globe projecting her win based on overwhelming vote tallies reported overnight. The Democratic nominee, who upset former Rep. Tom Malinowski in the February special primary, leveraged the district's strong Democratic lean—evident in Sherrill's prior margins—and faced Republican Joe Hathaway, former Randolph mayor, and Independent Alan Bond amid low special election turnout. Trader consensus at 100% reflects certified results absent any close margin triggering automatic recount, though theoretical challenges like legal disputes over absentee ballots or irregularities could arise before formal certification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
Volume
$44,403
Data de Término
16 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.Analilia Mejia's commanding position in the NJ-11 special election market stems from her decisive victory in the April 16, 2026, general election to fill the vacancy left by Gov. Mikie Sherrill, with major outlets like the Associated Press and New Jersey Globe projecting her win based on overwhelming vote tallies reported overnight. The Democratic nominee, who upset former Rep. Tom Malinowski in the February special primary, leveraged the district's strong Democratic lean—evident in Sherrill's prior margins—and faced Republican Joe Hathaway, former Randolph mayor, and Independent Alan Bond amid low special election turnout. Trader consensus at 100% reflects certified results absent any close margin triggering automatic recount, though theoretical challenges like legal disputes over absentee ballots or irregularities could arise before formal certification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
Volume
$44,403
Data de Término
16 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Analilia Mejia" at 100%, followed by "Joe Hathaway" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" has generated $44.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" is "Analilia Mejia" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Hathaway" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.