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Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

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Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Rowenna Davis 64%

Jason Perry 26%

Peter Underwood 10.4%

Ben Flook <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Rowenna Davis 64%

Jason Perry 26%

Peter Underwood 10.4%

Ben Flook <1%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Rowenna Davis

$1,855 Vol.

64%

Market icon

Jason Perry

$2,030 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Peter Underwood

$949 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Ben Flook

$2,204 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jose Joseph

$294 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Richard Howard

$330 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Michael Pusey

$326 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by fragmented opposition in recent polling showing her at 25%, incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 23%, Green Peter Underwood at 22%, and Reform's Ben Flook at 18%. Splintered votes among Greens, Reform UK, and Liberal Democrats—bolstered by Green's recent by-election gains and national momentum under Zack Polanski—prevent any challenger from consolidating support, enabling a potential plurality victory for Davis despite her narrow vote lead. Perry benefits from incumbency but faces criticism over council tax hikes and financial management, while Davis navigated a manifesto revision removing Gaza references after Labour intervention, drawing Conservative attacks on her policy consistency. Postal voting dispatches loom as a key upcoming factor.

The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Volume
$7,988
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by fragmented opposition in recent polling showing her at 25%, incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 23%, Green Peter Underwood at 22%, and Reform's Ben Flook at 18%. Splintered votes among Greens, Reform UK, and Liberal Democrats—bolstered by Green's recent by-election gains and national momentum under Zack Polanski—prevent any challenger from consolidating support, enabling a potential plurality victory for Davis despite her narrow vote lead. Perry benefits from incumbency but faces criticism over council tax hikes and financial management, while Davis navigated a manifesto revision removing Gaza references after Labour intervention, drawing Conservative attacks on her policy consistency. Postal voting dispatches loom as a key upcoming factor.

The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Volume
$7,988
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Croydon Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rowenna Davis" at 64%, followed by "Jason Perry" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Croydon Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Croydon Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Croydon Mayoral Election Winner" is "Rowenna Davis" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jason Perry" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Croydon Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.