Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win Croydon's executive mayoral election on May 7, reflecting her strong internal party backing—82% of members supported her candidacy—and active campaigning with a recently released manifesto emphasizing local policing and community services. Incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 29%, weighed by persistent criticism of council tax hikes totaling 33% since 2022, a £119 million government bailout request in February, and April revelations of mismanaged library projects with unsigned leases. Reform UK's Ben Flook at 3% has suffered from candidate resignations and a cancelled Farage visit, boosting the major-party duel, while Green Peter Underwood garners 4% amid projections of no council majority. Results counted starting May 8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 29%
Peter Underwood 4.2%
Ben Flook 3.0%

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
29%

Peter Underwood
4%

Ben Flook
3%

Jose Joseph
1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 29%
Peter Underwood 4.2%
Ben Flook 3.0%

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
29%

Peter Underwood
4%

Ben Flook
3%

Jose Joseph
1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win Croydon's executive mayoral election on May 7, reflecting her strong internal party backing—82% of members supported her candidacy—and active campaigning with a recently released manifesto emphasizing local policing and community services. Incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 29%, weighed by persistent criticism of council tax hikes totaling 33% since 2022, a £119 million government bailout request in February, and April revelations of mismanaged library projects with unsigned leases. Reform UK's Ben Flook at 3% has suffered from candidate resignations and a cancelled Farage visit, boosting the major-party duel, while Green Peter Underwood garners 4% amid projections of no council majority. Results counted starting May 8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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