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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Cohen 27%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 16%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Polymarket

$15,827 Vol.

Brad Cohen 27%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 16%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Polymarket

$15,827 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$0 Vol.

27%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

34%

Susan Altman

$13,938 Vol.

23%

Adam Hamawy

$0 Vol.

6%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

5%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

5%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

4%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$0 Vol.

2%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

Michael Anderson

$1,889 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary set for June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top contenders Verlina Reynolds-Jackson, Brad Cohen, and Susan Altman, driven by recent Data for Progress polling showing Reynolds-Jackson at 23%, Cohen at 17%, and Altman at 13% amid 35% undecideds. Reynolds-Jackson's edge stems from her state Assembly incumbency and progressive endorsements, while Cohen surges on superior fundraising ($1.2M raised) appealing to moderates, and Altman leverages municipal experience in Plainsboro. High undecideds and fragmented field keep odds clustered 22-34%, with separation possible from late endorsements, a key debate this week, or shifts in turnout among Black voters (25% of primary electorate) and suburban moderates in battleground areas like Mercer and Middlesex counties.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$15,827
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary set for June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top contenders Verlina Reynolds-Jackson, Brad Cohen, and Susan Altman, driven by recent Data for Progress polling showing Reynolds-Jackson at 23%, Cohen at 17%, and Altman at 13% amid 35% undecideds. Reynolds-Jackson's edge stems from her state Assembly incumbency and progressive endorsements, while Cohen surges on superior fundraising ($1.2M raised) appealing to moderates, and Altman leverages municipal experience in Plainsboro. High undecideds and fragmented field keep odds clustered 22-34%, with separation possible from late endorsements, a key debate this week, or shifts in turnout among Black voters (25% of primary electorate) and suburban moderates in battleground areas like Mercer and Middlesex counties.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary set for June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top contenders Verlina Reynolds-Jackson, Brad Cohen, and Susan Altman, driven by recent Data for Progress polling showing Reynolds-Jackson at 23%, Cohen at 17%, and Altman at 13% amid 35% undecideds. Reynolds-Jackson's edge stems from her state Assembly incumbency and progressive endorsements, while Cohen surges on superior fundraising ($1.2M raised) appealing to moderates, and Altman leverages municipal experience in Plainsboro. High undecideds and fragmented field keep odds clustered 22-34%, with separation possible from late endorsements, a key debate this week, or shifts in turnout among Black voters (25% of primary electorate) and suburban moderates in battleground areas like Mercer and Middlesex counties.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 34%, followed by "Brad Cohen" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.