Adam Hamawy’s commanding position in the NJ-12 Democratic primary stems from his substantial fundraising advantage of nearly $1.1 million and backing from a pro-Palestine super PAC committing $2 million in the final stretch before the June 2 vote. Recent polls and debates have reinforced his lead among a fragmented field of twelve candidates, with local party organizations splitting endorsements among several hometown contenders while Hamawy drew high-profile progressive support. Scrutiny over his past testimony and foreign policy views has not triggered significant opposition spending or momentum shifts for rivals like Susan Altman or Brad Cohen, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted toward Hamawy as the likely nominee to succeed the retiring incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAdam Hamawy 85%
Susan Altman 6%
Brad Cohen 3.6%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 3.3%
$39,603 Vol.
$39,603 Vol.
Adam Hamawy
85%
Susan Altman
6%
Brad Cohen
4%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
3%
Kyle Little
1%
Elijah Dixon
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Matthew Adams
1%
Raymond Heck
<1%
Adrian Mapp
<1%
Michael Anderson
<1%
Adam Hamawy 85%
Susan Altman 6%
Brad Cohen 3.6%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 3.3%
$39,603 Vol.
$39,603 Vol.
Adam Hamawy
85%
Susan Altman
6%
Brad Cohen
4%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
3%
Kyle Little
1%
Elijah Dixon
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Matthew Adams
1%
Raymond Heck
<1%
Adrian Mapp
<1%
Michael Anderson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Adam Hamawy’s commanding position in the NJ-12 Democratic primary stems from his substantial fundraising advantage of nearly $1.1 million and backing from a pro-Palestine super PAC committing $2 million in the final stretch before the June 2 vote. Recent polls and debates have reinforced his lead among a fragmented field of twelve candidates, with local party organizations splitting endorsements among several hometown contenders while Hamawy drew high-profile progressive support. Scrutiny over his past testimony and foreign policy views has not triggered significant opposition spending or momentum shifts for rivals like Susan Altman or Brad Cohen, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted toward Hamawy as the likely nominee to succeed the retiring incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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