In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary—an open seat after Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement—trader consensus reflects a tight contest, with state Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson leading narrowly at 33.5% over nonprofit executive Brad Cohen (28.5%) and Plainsboro Mayor Susan Altman (23%), aligning with Emerson College's late-May poll showing Reynolds-Jackson at 19%, Altman 17%, and Cohen 16% amid high undecideds. Cohen's fundraising edge, Altman's progressive endorsements from groups like Justice Democrats, and Reynolds-Jackson's backing from EMILYs List and party insiders keep support fragmented across ideological and demographic lines. With early voting in progress and the June 4 primary days away, surges in absentee turnout, final debate performances, or late endorsements could create separation among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBrad Cohen 38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
$24,163 Vol.
$24,163 Vol.
Brad Cohen
38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
33%
Susan Altman
23%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Adrian Mapp
5%
Matthew Adams
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Michael Anderson
2%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Brad Cohen 38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Susan Altman 16%
Adam Hamawy 7%
$24,163 Vol.
$24,163 Vol.
Brad Cohen
38%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
33%
Susan Altman
23%
Adam Hamawy
7%
Adrian Mapp
5%
Matthew Adams
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Michael Anderson
2%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary—an open seat after Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement—trader consensus reflects a tight contest, with state Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson leading narrowly at 33.5% over nonprofit executive Brad Cohen (28.5%) and Plainsboro Mayor Susan Altman (23%), aligning with Emerson College's late-May poll showing Reynolds-Jackson at 19%, Altman 17%, and Cohen 16% amid high undecideds. Cohen's fundraising edge, Altman's progressive endorsements from groups like Justice Democrats, and Reynolds-Jackson's backing from EMILYs List and party insiders keep support fragmented across ideological and demographic lines. With early voting in progress and the June 4 primary days away, surges in absentee turnout, final debate performances, or late endorsements could create separation among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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