Adam Hamawy leads the crowded Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, which votes on June 2 to replace retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman, due to his commanding edge in fundraising, progressive endorsements including from Senator Bernie Sanders, and recent internal polling that shows him ahead of the field. A super PAC has spent heavily on his behalf in the final stretch, while attacks over his past testimony in a 1990s terrorism trial and his criticism of Israel have not shifted momentum. Sue Altman, an experienced progressive activist, remains the clearest alternative but trails significantly, as support among the remaining candidates—including Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Mayor Brad Cohen—remains fragmented along local and demographic lines. Traders’ consensus reflects these late-campaign dynamics in the safe Democratic seat.