Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passed with 64 percent support in 2024 and returns for required second approval on the November 3, 2026 ballot to enshrine a constitutional right to abortion before fetal viability or to protect patient health. Recent September polling shows 66-69 percent yes among likely voters, with broad backing across demographics and limited organized opposition emerging since certification. This continuity, combined with Nevada's existing statutory protections up to 24 weeks, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99 percent implied probability for passage. Late developments such as sharply altered turnout patterns, successful legal challenges to ballot language, or an unexpected surge in opposition mobilization remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome before election day.