Jerry Carl holds a commanding lead in the Alabama 1st Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Carl, a former representative for the district, secured the GOP nomination with roughly 75 percent of the August 2026 primary vote after receiving endorsements from President Trump and key industry groups. The open seat, created when incumbent Barry Moore pursued a Senate bid, features a redrawn map that further advantages Republicans. Democratic nominee Clyde Jones has raised negligible funds and faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event for Carl represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$48,300 Vol.
$48,300 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
3%
$48,300 Vol.
$48,300 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,635 Vol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,665 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl holds a commanding lead in the Alabama 1st Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Carl, a former representative for the district, secured the GOP nomination with roughly 75 percent of the August 2026 primary vote after receiving endorsements from President Trump and key industry groups. The open seat, created when incumbent Barry Moore pursued a Senate bid, features a redrawn map that further advantages Republicans. Democratic nominee Clyde Jones has raised negligible funds and faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event for Carl represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$48,300End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl holds a commanding lead in the Alabama 1st Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Carl, a former representative for the district, secured the GOP nomination with roughly 75 percent of the August 2026 primary vote after receiving endorsements from President Trump and key industry groups. The open seat, created when incumbent Barry Moore pursued a Senate bid, features a redrawn map that further advantages Republicans. Democratic nominee Clyde Jones has raised negligible funds and faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event for Carl represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,300End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl holds a commanding lead in the Alabama 1st Congressional District race due to the seat’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters. Carl, a former representative for the district, secured the GOP nomination with roughly 75 percent of the August 2026 primary vote after receiving endorsements from President Trump and key industry groups. The open seat, created when incumbent Barry Moore pursued a Senate bid, features a redrawn map that further advantages Republicans. Democratic nominee Clyde Jones has raised negligible funds and faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event for Carl represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions