Redistricting after the 2026 special legislative session shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward a Republican lean, giving state Rep. Rhett Marques a structural edge over incumbent U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures in the November 3 general election. Recent Republican messaging has focused on Figures’ House voting record, including opposition to district-specific infrastructure funding and tax relief measures on tips and overtime. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August primary and appeared alongside President Trump at an early October rally to highlight contrasts on taxes and spending priorities. Democratic internal polls from summer showed a statistical tie, yet broader forecasting models and trader consensus now assign Marques the clearer advantage heading into the final weeks.