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Elections·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 52%

David Trone 34%

Kiambo White 5%

Daniel Krakower 4.9%

Polymarket
NEW

April McClain Delaney 52%

David Trone 34%

Kiambo White 5%

Daniel Krakower 4.9%

Polymarket
NEW

April McClain Delaney

$197 Vol.

52%

David Trone

$157 Vol.

34%

Kiambo White

$130 Vol.

5%

Daniel Krakower

$439 Vol.

5%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$161 Vol.

4%

Altimont Wilks

$218 Vol.

4%

George Gluck

$151 Vol.

3%

Alexis Goldstein

$112 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the lead in Maryland’s 6th District Democratic primary, where traders assign her the highest probability of winning the June 23 nomination. Her position stems from established name recognition after winning the open seat in 2024, consistent polling advantages of roughly 11 points in recent surveys, and endorsements from figures including Governor Wes Moore and Senator Chris Van Hollen. Former Representative David Trone, seeking to reclaim the seat he vacated for a 2024 Senate bid, has poured millions into advertising yet trails in head-to-head testing. Recent weeks have seen sharpened exchanges, with McClain Delaney issuing a cease-and-desist over Trone’s campaign materials and both candidates accusing the other of alignment with opposing national agendas. These dynamics reinforce the current market separation between the two frontrunners and the field of lower-polling challengers.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,545
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the lead in Maryland’s 6th District Democratic primary, where traders assign her the highest probability of winning the June 23 nomination. Her position stems from established name recognition after winning the open seat in 2024, consistent polling advantages of roughly 11 points in recent surveys, and endorsements from figures including Governor Wes Moore and Senator Chris Van Hollen. Former Representative David Trone, seeking to reclaim the seat he vacated for a 2024 Senate bid, has poured millions into advertising yet trails in head-to-head testing. Recent weeks have seen sharpened exchanges, with McClain Delaney issuing a cease-and-desist over Trone’s campaign materials and both candidates accusing the other of alignment with opposing national agendas. These dynamics reinforce the current market separation between the two frontrunners and the field of lower-polling challengers.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,545
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April McClain Delaney" at 52%, followed by "David Trone" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "April McClain Delaney" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Trone" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.