Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Georgia State Representative Rick Jackson as the frontrunner for the Republican gubernatorial primary with a 49.5% implied probability, closely trailed by Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 35.5%, reflecting Jackson's recent momentum from strong internal polling and endorsements from Trump-aligned GOP influencers amid early fundraising tallies reported last week. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger holds 15% on name recognition from his 2020 election administration role, despite past intraparty tensions, while Attorney General Chris Carr lags at 1.1% post his exploratory phase. No seismic shifts in the past 48 hours, but the 2026 primary—likely May—with potential runoff emphasizes grassroots turnout, swing districts, and legislative records as key factors ahead of formal campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRick Jackson 49%
Burt Jones 35%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Chris Carr 1.1%
$305,941 Vol.
$305,941 Vol.
Rick Jackson
49%
Burt Jones
35%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Chris Carr
1%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
Rick Jackson 49%
Burt Jones 35%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Chris Carr 1.1%
$305,941 Vol.
$305,941 Vol.
Rick Jackson
49%
Burt Jones
35%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Chris Carr
1%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Georgia State Representative Rick Jackson as the frontrunner for the Republican gubernatorial primary with a 49.5% implied probability, closely trailed by Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 35.5%, reflecting Jackson's recent momentum from strong internal polling and endorsements from Trump-aligned GOP influencers amid early fundraising tallies reported last week. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger holds 15% on name recognition from his 2020 election administration role, despite past intraparty tensions, while Attorney General Chris Carr lags at 1.1% post his exploratory phase. No seismic shifts in the past 48 hours, but the 2026 primary—likely May—with potential runoff emphasizes grassroots turnout, swing districts, and legislative records as key factors ahead of formal campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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