Trader consensus on Polymarket gives State Senator Rick Jackson a 49.5% implied probability of winning the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary, ahead of Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 35.5% and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger at 15%, driven by a recent Atlanta News First/Landmark poll showing Jackson leading with strong support among Trump-aligned GOP voters amid early fundraising momentum. Jones benefits from incumbency in the lieutenant governor's office and statewide name recognition but trails due to competition from perceived outsiders like Jackson. Raffensperger lags amid lingering 2020 election disputes, while others remain longshots. With the May 2026 primary distant, odds reflect positioning in swing state battleground dynamics, swing voter turnout potential, and endorsements, subject to polling shifts or candidate announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRick Jackson 50%
Burt Jones 36%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Chris Carr 1.1%
$282,391 Vol.
$282,391 Vol.
Rick Jackson
50%
Burt Jones
36%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Chris Carr
1%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
Rick Jackson 50%
Burt Jones 36%
Brad Raffensperger 15%
Chris Carr 1.1%
$282,391 Vol.
$282,391 Vol.
Rick Jackson
50%
Burt Jones
36%
Brad Raffensperger
15%
Chris Carr
1%
Gregg Kirkpatrick
1%
Ken Yasger
<1%
Leland Olinger II
<1%
Clark Dean
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives State Senator Rick Jackson a 49.5% implied probability of winning the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary, ahead of Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 35.5% and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger at 15%, driven by a recent Atlanta News First/Landmark poll showing Jackson leading with strong support among Trump-aligned GOP voters amid early fundraising momentum. Jones benefits from incumbency in the lieutenant governor's office and statewide name recognition but trails due to competition from perceived outsiders like Jackson. Raffensperger lags amid lingering 2020 election disputes, while others remain longshots. With the May 2026 primary distant, odds reflect positioning in swing state battleground dynamics, swing voter turnout potential, and endorsements, subject to polling shifts or candidate announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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