Anthony Constantino leads the NY-21 Republican primary at 80.5% trader consensus, driven primarily by President Trump’s endorsement and his profile as a businessman in a district long held by Elise Stefanik. Robert Smullen trails at 18% despite his experience as a state assemblyman and retired Marine Corps colonel, bolstered recently by a U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. The June 23 primary features early voting beginning June 13 across the North Country’s 15 counties, with both candidates emphasizing border security, energy policy, and economic issues in a contentious race marked by a late-May debate. Trump’s backing has consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Smullen’s legislative record and business endorsements provide his main competitive path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-21 Republican Primary Winner
NY-21 Republican Primary Winner
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
Anthony Constantino
81%
Robert Smullen
18%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
Anthony Constantino
$1,688 Vol.
81%
Robert Smullen
$1,123 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony Constantino leads the NY-21 Republican primary at 80.5% trader consensus, driven primarily by President Trump’s endorsement and his profile as a businessman in a district long held by Elise Stefanik. Robert Smullen trails at 18% despite his experience as a state assemblyman and retired Marine Corps colonel, bolstered recently by a U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. The June 23 primary features early voting beginning June 13 across the North Country’s 15 counties, with both candidates emphasizing border security, energy policy, and economic issues in a contentious race marked by a late-May debate. Trump’s backing has consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Smullen’s legislative record and business endorsements provide his main competitive path.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,811End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony Constantino leads the NY-21 Republican primary at 80.5% trader consensus, driven primarily by President Trump’s endorsement and his profile as a businessman in a district long held by Elise Stefanik. Robert Smullen trails at 18% despite his experience as a state assemblyman and retired Marine Corps colonel, bolstered recently by a U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. The June 23 primary features early voting beginning June 13 across the North Country’s 15 counties, with both candidates emphasizing border security, energy policy, and economic issues in a contentious race marked by a late-May debate. Trump’s backing has consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Smullen’s legislative record and business endorsements provide his main competitive path.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,811End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthony Constantino leads the NY-21 Republican primary at 80.5% trader consensus, driven primarily by President Trump’s endorsement and his profile as a businessman in a district long held by Elise Stefanik. Robert Smullen trails at 18% despite his experience as a state assemblyman and retired Marine Corps colonel, bolstered recently by a U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement. The June 23 primary features early voting beginning June 13 across the North Country’s 15 counties, with both candidates emphasizing border security, energy policy, and economic issues in a contentious race marked by a late-May debate. Trump’s backing has consolidated support among Republican primary voters, while Smullen’s legislative record and business endorsements provide his main competitive path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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