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Politics·Primaries

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Mike Pieciak 45%

Charity Clark 35%

Esther Charlestin 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Pieciak 45%

Charity Clark 35%

Esther Charlestin 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Pieciak

$0 Vol.

27%

Charity Clark

$0 Vol.

42%

Esther Charlestin

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vermont's Democratic primary for governor on August 13 remains neck-and-neck, with recent VTDigger/SixFifty polling (July 21-25) showing State Treasurer Mike Pieciak at 27% narrowly ahead of Attorney General Charity Clark at 24%, alongside 32% undecided voters—aligning with trader consensus pricing Pieciak at 31.5% and Clark at 29%. Pieciak's edge reflects his fundraising dominance, raising over $1.1 million including self-funding, and endorsements from progressive groups like EMILY's List, offsetting Clark's stronger name recognition from prosecuting high-profile cases like the EB-5 scandal. High undecideds among Democratic primary voters, no incumbent, and limited debates keep dynamics fluid; late endorsements, final polling shifts, or turnout in progressive strongholds could create separation ahead of the contest against Republican incumbent Phil Scott.

Vermont's Democratic primary for governor on August 13 remains neck-and-neck, with recent VTDigger/SixFifty polling (July 21-25) showing State Treasurer Mike Pieciak at 27% narrowly ahead of Attorney General Charity Clark at 24%, alongside 32% undecided voters—aligning with trader consensus pricing Pieciak at 31.5% and Clark at 29%. Pieciak's edge reflects his fundraising dominance, raising over $1.1 million including self-funding, and endorsements from progressive groups like EMILY's List, offsetting Clark's stronger name recognition from prosecuting high-profile cases like the EB-5 scandal. High undecideds among Democratic primary voters, no incumbent, and limited debates keep dynamics fluid; late endorsements, final polling shifts, or turnout in progressive strongholds could create separation ahead of the contest against Republican incumbent Phil Scott.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vermont's Democratic primary for governor on August 13 remains neck-and-neck, with recent VTDigger/SixFifty polling (July 21-25) showing State Treasurer Mike Pieciak at 27% narrowly ahead of Attorney General Charity Clark at 24%, alongside 32% undecided voters—aligning with trader consensus pricing Pieciak at 31.5% and Clark at 29%. Pieciak's edge reflects his fundraising dominance, raising over $1.1 million including self-funding, and endorsements from progressive groups like EMILY's List, offsetting Clark's stronger name recognition from prosecuting high-profile cases like the EB-5 scandal. High undecideds among Democratic primary voters, no incumbent, and limited debates keep dynamics fluid; late endorsements, final polling shifts, or turnout in progressive strongholds could create separation ahead of the contest against Republican incumbent Phil Scott.

Vermont's Democratic primary for governor on August 13 remains neck-and-neck, with recent VTDigger/SixFifty polling (July 21-25) showing State Treasurer Mike Pieciak at 27% narrowly ahead of Attorney General Charity Clark at 24%, alongside 32% undecided voters—aligning with trader consensus pricing Pieciak at 31.5% and Clark at 29%. Pieciak's edge reflects his fundraising dominance, raising over $1.1 million including self-funding, and endorsements from progressive groups like EMILY's List, offsetting Clark's stronger name recognition from prosecuting high-profile cases like the EB-5 scandal. High undecideds among Democratic primary voters, no incumbent, and limited debates keep dynamics fluid; late endorsements, final polling shifts, or turnout in progressive strongholds could create separation ahead of the contest against Republican incumbent Phil Scott.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charity Clark" at 42%, followed by "Mike Pieciak" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Charity Clark" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Pieciak" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.