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Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Cinde Warmington 81%

John Kiper 11%

Tom Sherman 3.9%

Deaglan McEachern 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Cinde Warmington 81%

John Kiper 11%

Tom Sherman 3.9%

Deaglan McEachern 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Cinde Warmington

$7,906 Vol.

81%

John Kiper

$0 Vol.

11%

Tom Sherman

$1,611 Vol.

4%

Deaglan McEachern

$0 Vol.

2%

Donovan Fenton

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington's commanding 80.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her frontrunner status, fueled by top fundraising exceeding $1.1 million, endorsements from EMILY's List, the AFL-CIO, and Planned Parenthood, and a consistent lead in recent polls like Saint Anselm College's late-August survey showing her at 32% among Democrats. John Kiper trails at 10.5% buoyed by self-funding over $400,000 and moderate appeal, while state Sen. Tom Sherman (3.9%), Rep. Deaglan McEachern (2.6%), and activist Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lag due to limited resources and name recognition. With the September 10 plurality-vote primary nearing, trader consensus anticipates no major upset barring late scandals or spending surges, though low Democratic turnout in an open-seat race adds uncertainty.

Cinde Warmington's commanding 80.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her frontrunner status, fueled by top fundraising exceeding $1.1 million, endorsements from EMILY's List, the AFL-CIO, and Planned Parenthood, and a consistent lead in recent polls like Saint Anselm College's late-August survey showing her at 32% among Democrats. John Kiper trails at 10.5% buoyed by self-funding over $400,000 and moderate appeal, while state Sen. Tom Sherman (3.9%), Rep. Deaglan McEachern (2.6%), and activist Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lag due to limited resources and name recognition. With the September 10 plurality-vote primary nearing, trader consensus anticipates no major upset barring late scandals or spending surges, though low Democratic turnout in an open-seat race adds uncertainty.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington's commanding 80.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her frontrunner status, fueled by top fundraising exceeding $1.1 million, endorsements from EMILY's List, the AFL-CIO, and Planned Parenthood, and a consistent lead in recent polls like Saint Anselm College's late-August survey showing her at 32% among Democrats. John Kiper trails at 10.5% buoyed by self-funding over $400,000 and moderate appeal, while state Sen. Tom Sherman (3.9%), Rep. Deaglan McEachern (2.6%), and activist Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lag due to limited resources and name recognition. With the September 10 plurality-vote primary nearing, trader consensus anticipates no major upset barring late scandals or spending surges, though low Democratic turnout in an open-seat race adds uncertainty.

Cinde Warmington's commanding 80.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her frontrunner status, fueled by top fundraising exceeding $1.1 million, endorsements from EMILY's List, the AFL-CIO, and Planned Parenthood, and a consistent lead in recent polls like Saint Anselm College's late-August survey showing her at 32% among Democrats. John Kiper trails at 10.5% buoyed by self-funding over $400,000 and moderate appeal, while state Sen. Tom Sherman (3.9%), Rep. Deaglan McEachern (2.6%), and activist Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lag due to limited resources and name recognition. With the September 10 plurality-vote primary nearing, trader consensus anticipates no major upset barring late scandals or spending surges, though low Democratic turnout in an open-seat race adds uncertainty.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 81%, followed by "John Kiper" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 4, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Cinde Warmington" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Kiper" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.