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Politics·Democratic Primary

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Democratic Primary

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Stephen Lynch 100.0%

Patrick Roath <1%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$238,948 Vol.

Stephen Lynch 100.0%

Patrick Roath <1%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$238,948 Vol.

icon for Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch

$135,787 Vol.

Yes

icon for Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

$99,659 Vol.

No

icon for Andrew Zylberfink

Andrew Zylberfink

$3,503 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Lynch secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts’s 8th Congressional District in the September 1 primary, reflecting his long incumbency since 2001, strong labor union backing, and emphasis on institutional experience in a heavily Democratic district. Despite Patrick Roath’s advantages in fundraising, progressive endorsements from groups including the Boston Globe editorial board and David Hogg’s Leaders We Deserve, and a platform focused on generational change, healthcare expansion, and criticism of Lynch’s record on issues such as immigration and the Affordable Care Act, voter support favored the incumbent’s established coalition. With results showing Lynch ahead by double-digit margins as counts progressed, trader consensus at 97 percent aligns with the confirmed outcome while leaving limited room for procedural delays such as final certification or any unforeseen recount in the safe blue seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$238,948
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Lynch secured the Democratic nomination for Massachusetts’s 8th Congressional District in the September 1 primary, reflecting his long incumbency since 2001, strong labor union backing, and emphasis on institutional experience in a heavily Democratic district. Despite Patrick Roath’s advantages in fundraising, progressive endorsements from groups including the Boston Globe editorial board and David Hogg’s Leaders We Deserve, and a platform focused on generational change, healthcare expansion, and criticism of Lynch’s record on issues such as immigration and the Affordable Care Act, voter support favored the incumbent’s established coalition. With results showing Lynch ahead by double-digit margins as counts progressed, trader consensus at 97 percent aligns with the confirmed outcome while leaving limited room for procedural delays such as final certification or any unforeseen recount in the safe blue seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$238,948
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stephen Lynch" at 100%, followed by "Patrick Roath" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $238.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Stephen Lynch" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Roath" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.