Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%
Elijah Manley 28%
Rudy Moise 8.6%
Maisha Williams 6.3%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
44%
Elijah Manley
33%
Rudy Moise
9%
Maisha Williams
6%
Dale Holness
5%
Luther Campbell
4%
Mark Douglas
2%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
1%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%
Elijah Manley 28%
Rudy Moise 8.6%
Maisha Williams 6.3%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
$148 交易量
44%
Elijah Manley
$2,185 交易量
33%
Rudy Moise
$846 交易量
9%
Maisha Williams
$299 交易量
6%
Dale Holness
$1,645 交易量
5%
Luther Campbell
$264 交易量
4%
Mark Douglas
$274 交易量
2%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
$785 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
交易量
$6,447结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,447结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting last month shifted Florida's 20th Congressional District into a majority-Black Democratic primary electorate that historically elected Black representatives. Incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz, displaced from her prior seat, faces multiple challengers emphasizing community representation, with recent polls showing her ahead among likely voters but strong sentiment favoring a Black nominee. A closed-door meeting among Black candidates days ago focused on consolidating support behind one contender to avoid splitting the vote, positioning Elijah Manley as the leading alternative while others trail. The August 18 primary timeline and these coalition dynamics underpin current trader consensus on frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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