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icon for MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·明尼蘇達州騷亂

MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·明尼蘇達州騷亂

MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者

$25,993 交易量

Polymarket

$25,993 交易量

伊爾汗·奧馬爾

$20,766 交易量

89%

Latonya Reeves

$5,227 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the DFL endorsement at the May 2026 district convention after challenger Latonya Reeves declined to compete for it, reinforcing her position ahead of the August 11 primary. Omar's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $5 million compared to Reeves' roughly $31,000, along with her established record in the heavily Democratic district, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member, launched her bid in late 2025 focusing on issues like housing and public safety, yet faces structural barriers typical for primary challengers without party backing. A third candidate, Julie Le, has not shifted the positioning. The primary remains the key resolution trigger, with no major late developments altering the landscape.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,993
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the DFL endorsement at the May 2026 district convention after challenger Latonya Reeves declined to compete for it, reinforcing her position ahead of the August 11 primary. Omar's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $5 million compared to Reeves' roughly $31,000, along with her established record in the heavily Democratic district, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member, launched her bid in late 2025 focusing on issues like housing and public safety, yet faces structural barriers typical for primary challengers without party backing. A third candidate, Julie Le, has not shifted the positioning. The primary remains the key resolution trigger, with no major late developments altering the landscape.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,993
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊爾汗·奧馬爾" at 89%, followed by "Latonya Reeves" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $26K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者" is "伊爾汗·奧馬爾" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Latonya Reeves" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-05民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.