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Politics·Primaries

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 71%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 8.8%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$28,965 Vol.

Ben McAdams 71%

Nate Blouin 20%

Liban Mohamed 8.8%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$28,965 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$7,681 Vol.

71%

Nate Blouin

$4,016 Vol.

20%

Liban Mohamed

$657 Vol.

9%

Brian King

$1,112 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,431 Vol.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,752 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,095 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,327 Vol.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus in the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to his commanding lead in March polling (36% support), superior fundraising exceeding rivals by nearly $1 million, and strong name recognition from prior House service and Salt Lake County mayoral tenure, appealing in the open primary where independents vote. State Senator Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% buoyed by progressive endorsements amid debates over his record, while newcomer Liban Mohamed's 12% reflects momentum from his April 25 state convention upset victory via ranked-choice voting (51%-49% over McAdams), energizing activist delegates ahead of the June 23 ballot. No new polls have emerged post-convention, underscoring McAdams' frontrunner status in this blue-leaning district redraw.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,965
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus in the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to his commanding lead in March polling (36% support), superior fundraising exceeding rivals by nearly $1 million, and strong name recognition from prior House service and Salt Lake County mayoral tenure, appealing in the open primary where independents vote. State Senator Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% buoyed by progressive endorsements amid debates over his record, while newcomer Liban Mohamed's 12% reflects momentum from his April 25 state convention upset victory via ranked-choice voting (51%-49% over McAdams), energizing activist delegates ahead of the June 23 ballot. No new polls have emerged post-convention, underscoring McAdams' frontrunner status in this blue-leaning district redraw.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,965
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 71%, followed by "Nate Blouin" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $29K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Ben McAdams" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nate Blouin" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.