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Elections·Primaries

Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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Elections·Primaries

Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Jamie Davis Jr. 77%

Nick Albares 16%

Tracie Burke 2.6%

Gary Crockett 2.5%

Polymarket

$40,467 Vol.

Jamie Davis Jr. 77%

Nick Albares 16%

Tracie Burke 2.6%

Gary Crockett 2.5%

Polymarket

$40,467 Vol.

Jamie Davis Jr.

$15,181 Vol.

77%

Nick Albares

$299 Vol.

16%

Tracie Burke

$7,281 Vol.

3%

Gary Crockett

$183 Vol.

2%

Jabarie Walker

$17,524 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jamie Davis Jr. leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability to win Louisiana's closed Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by endorsements from the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), which have elevated his profile as a third-generation farmer and community advocate from rural Tensas Parish—the first Democrat to announce against incumbent Republican Bill Cassidy. With no major challengers entering the race, Nick Albares trails at 16% amid limited fundraising and visibility, while Tracie Burke, Gary Crockett, and Jabarie Walker share low-single digits due to minimal party support. A key upcoming event is the April 21 debate featuring Davis, Albares, and Crockett at Southern University, which could test momentum ahead of early voting; historical primary turnout in Louisiana favors endorsed candidates in uncontested fields.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$40,467
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jamie Davis Jr. leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability to win Louisiana's closed Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by endorsements from the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), which have elevated his profile as a third-generation farmer and community advocate from rural Tensas Parish—the first Democrat to announce against incumbent Republican Bill Cassidy. With no major challengers entering the race, Nick Albares trails at 16% amid limited fundraising and visibility, while Tracie Burke, Gary Crockett, and Jabarie Walker share low-single digits due to minimal party support. A key upcoming event is the April 21 debate featuring Davis, Albares, and Crockett at Southern University, which could test momentum ahead of early voting; historical primary turnout in Louisiana favors endorsed candidates in uncontested fields.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$40,467
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jamie Davis Jr." at 77%, followed by "Nick Albares" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $40.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Jamie Davis Jr." at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nick Albares" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.