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Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Josh Turek 78%

Zach Wahls 19%

Chris Henry <1%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket

$22,590 Vol.

Josh Turek 78%

Zach Wahls 19%

Chris Henry <1%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket

$22,590 Vol.

Josh Turek

$5,987 Vol.

78%

Zach Wahls

$8,682 Vol.

19%

Chris Henry

$2,346 Vol.

1%

Nathan Sage

$5,575 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Iowa Democrats are poised to select their U.S. Senate nominee on June 2 amid a focused two-candidate contest for the open seat held by retiring Republican Joni Ernst. State Representative Josh Turek has consolidated a commanding position through recent polling leads, high-profile endorsements from figures including former Senator Tom Harkin and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and substantial outside spending from VoteVets emphasizing his personal story and electability in a state where Democrats seek a general-election pickup against likely Republican nominee Ashley Hinson. State Senator Zach Wahls trails while highlighting progressive positions and criticizing external funding, though minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage register negligible support. The primary’s tight timeline and emphasis on flipping the seat shape trader assessments of each contender’s path to the nomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$22,590
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Iowa Democrats are poised to select their U.S. Senate nominee on June 2 amid a focused two-candidate contest for the open seat held by retiring Republican Joni Ernst. State Representative Josh Turek has consolidated a commanding position through recent polling leads, high-profile endorsements from figures including former Senator Tom Harkin and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and substantial outside spending from VoteVets emphasizing his personal story and electability in a state where Democrats seek a general-election pickup against likely Republican nominee Ashley Hinson. State Senator Zach Wahls trails while highlighting progressive positions and criticizing external funding, though minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage register negligible support. The primary’s tight timeline and emphasis on flipping the seat shape trader assessments of each contender’s path to the nomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$22,590
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Turek" at 78%, followed by "Zach Wahls" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $22.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Josh Turek" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zach Wahls" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.