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Politics·Primary Elections

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primary Elections

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Grace Meng 100.0%

Charles Park <1%

Yan Xiong <1%

Polymarket

$110,634 Vol.

Grace Meng 100.0%

Charles Park <1%

Yan Xiong <1%

Polymarket

$110,634 Vol.

Grace Meng

$60,399 Vol.

Yes

Charles Park

$48,452 Vol.

No

Yan Xiong

$1,783 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding lead in the NY-06 Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, 2026, reflecting her established party support, substantial fundraising edge with over $1.6 million raised and strong cash reserves as of early June, and endorsements from U.S. senators and state legislators. Challenger Charles Park, a former diplomat and Queens native mounting a grassroots effort launched in March, trails amid limited reported polling momentum or comparable resources. Yan Xiong has withdrawn or been disqualified, narrowing the field. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes at 92.3% for Meng aligns with typical incumbency advantages in closed primaries and the absence of recent developments that would alter voter or donor dynamics in the final days. Late-breaking events such as major endorsements or controversies could still shift limited remaining support before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$110,634
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding lead in the NY-06 Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, 2026, reflecting her established party support, substantial fundraising edge with over $1.6 million raised and strong cash reserves as of early June, and endorsements from U.S. senators and state legislators. Challenger Charles Park, a former diplomat and Queens native mounting a grassroots effort launched in March, trails amid limited reported polling momentum or comparable resources. Yan Xiong has withdrawn or been disqualified, narrowing the field. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes at 92.3% for Meng aligns with typical incumbency advantages in closed primaries and the absence of recent developments that would alter voter or donor dynamics in the final days. Late-breaking events such as major endorsements or controversies could still shift limited remaining support before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$110,634
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grace Meng" at 100%, followed by "Charles Park" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $110.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Grace Meng" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Park" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.