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Politics·New York

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·New York

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Charles Park 14%

Yan Xiong 7%

Grace Meng 0

Polymarket
NEW

Charles Park 14%

Yan Xiong 7%

Grace Meng 0

Polymarket
NEW

Charles Park

$224 Vol.

25%

Yan Xiong

$449 Vol.

7%

Grace Meng

$524 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability in the closely contested NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, buoyed by her fundraising edge—over $1 million cash on hand—and recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu, retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and Queens unions like SMART Local 28, alongside submitting 12,000 signatures exceeding requirements. Progressive challenger Chuck Park, a former Obama-era diplomat and Queens native, holds 26.5% on grassroots momentum from his March 14 field launch, NYPAN and Citizen Action of New York endorsements, and April media appearances criticizing Meng's foreign policy record. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 6.5% with minimal visibility. No public polls exist, leaving the closed primary's outcome to turnout among the district's diverse Asian American and immigrant voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,197
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability in the closely contested NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, buoyed by her fundraising edge—over $1 million cash on hand—and recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu, retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, and Queens unions like SMART Local 28, alongside submitting 12,000 signatures exceeding requirements. Progressive challenger Chuck Park, a former Obama-era diplomat and Queens native, holds 26.5% on grassroots momentum from his March 14 field launch, NYPAN and Citizen Action of New York endorsements, and April media appearances criticizing Meng's foreign policy record. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 6.5% with minimal visibility. No public polls exist, leaving the closed primary's outcome to turnout among the district's diverse Asian American and immigrant voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,197
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grace Meng" at 47%, followed by "Charles Park" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 19, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Grace Meng" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Park" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.