The Australian federal election outcome remains highly uncertain, with multiple potential prime ministerial candidates clustered near even money amid the preferential voting system and competitive polling across key states. Incumbent Anthony Albanese trades at 41% as Labor navigates economic pressures including inflation and housing affordability, while Coalition alternatives such as Angus Taylor sit lower around 19.5% and minor party figures like Pauline Hanson register minimal support. Recent state-level swings, internal party reviews on energy policy and immigration, and the absence of a decisive national polling lead keep implied probabilities tight. Scheduled events including the formal campaign period and any late leadership adjustments within major parties could widen separations among contenders before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthony Albanese 41%
Angus Taylor 20%
Jim Chalmers 15.8%
Pauline Hanson 15%
$15,514 Wol.
$15,514 Wol.
Sep 23, 2028
Anthony Albanese
41%
Angus Taylor
20%
Jim Chalmers
16%
Pauline Hanson
15%
Robbie Katter
1%
Larissa Waters
<1%
Anthony Albanese 41%
Angus Taylor 20%
Jim Chalmers 15.8%
Pauline Hanson 15%
$15,514 Wol.
$15,514 Wol.
Sep 23, 2028
Anthony Albanese
$1,337 Wol.
41%
Angus Taylor
$2,025 Wol.
20%
Jim Chalmers
$283 Wol.
16%
Pauline Hanson
$10,991 Wol.
15%
Robbie Katter
$391 Wol.
1%
Larissa Waters
$487 Wol.
<1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Australian federal election outcome remains highly uncertain, with multiple potential prime ministerial candidates clustered near even money amid the preferential voting system and competitive polling across key states. Incumbent Anthony Albanese trades at 41% as Labor navigates economic pressures including inflation and housing affordability, while Coalition alternatives such as Angus Taylor sit lower around 19.5% and minor party figures like Pauline Hanson register minimal support. Recent state-level swings, internal party reviews on energy policy and immigration, and the absence of a decisive national polling lead keep implied probabilities tight. Scheduled events including the formal campaign period and any late leadership adjustments within major parties could widen separations among contenders before election day.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,514Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Australian federal election outcome remains highly uncertain, with multiple potential prime ministerial candidates clustered near even money amid the preferential voting system and competitive polling across key states. Incumbent Anthony Albanese trades at 41% as Labor navigates economic pressures including inflation and housing affordability, while Coalition alternatives such as Angus Taylor sit lower around 19.5% and minor party figures like Pauline Hanson register minimal support. Recent state-level swings, internal party reviews on energy policy and immigration, and the absence of a decisive national polling lead keep implied probabilities tight. Scheduled events including the formal campaign period and any late leadership adjustments within major parties could widen separations among contenders before election day.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$15,514Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Australian federal election outcome remains highly uncertain, with multiple potential prime ministerial candidates clustered near even money amid the preferential voting system and competitive polling across key states. Incumbent Anthony Albanese trades at 41% as Labor navigates economic pressures including inflation and housing affordability, while Coalition alternatives such as Angus Taylor sit lower around 19.5% and minor party figures like Pauline Hanson register minimal support. Recent state-level swings, internal party reviews on energy policy and immigration, and the absence of a decisive national polling lead keep implied probabilities tight. Scheduled events including the formal campaign period and any late leadership adjustments within major parties could widen separations among contenders before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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