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icon for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Bev Craig 100.0%

Marlon Scott West <1%

Kate Green <1%

Laura Evans <1%

Polymarket

$426,582 Wol.

Bev Craig 100.0%

Marlon Scott West <1%

Kate Green <1%

Laura Evans <1%

Polymarket

$426,582 Wol.

icon for Marlon Scott West

Marlon Scott West

$28,380 Wol.

No

icon for Kate Green

Kate Green

$3,367 Wol.

No

icon for Laura Evans

Laura Evans

$8,796 Wol.

No

icon for Dan Barker

Dan Barker

$26,078 Wol.

No

icon for Richard Kilpatrick

Richard Kilpatrick

$1,849 Wol.

No

icon for Sian Astley

Sian Astley

$21,114 Wol.

No

icon for Hannah Spencer

Hannah Spencer

$5,316 Wol.

No

icon for Jake Austin

Jake Austin

$1,565 Wol.

No

icon for Paul Dennett

Paul Dennett

$2,625 Wol.

No

icon for Nick Buckley

Nick Buckley

$6,714 Wol.

No

icon for Bev Craig

Bev Craig

$244,273 Wol.

Yes

icon for Arooj Shah

Arooj Shah

$1,829 Wol.

No

icon for Geraldine Coggins

Geraldine Coggins

$72,504 Wol.

No

icon for George Galloway

George Galloway

$2,170 Wol.

No

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).Bev Craig secured a decisive victory in the July 30, 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral by-election, capturing 66.3% in the second round against Reform UK's Sian Astley. As the Labour and Co-operative Party nominee and Manchester City Council leader, Craig benefited from strong party infrastructure, name recognition across the region, and pledges to expand affordable public transport options such as the Bee Network fare caps. The contest followed the departure of the prior officeholder, creating an open race where Labour's established voter base in the combined authority delivered a commanding margin. With results now confirmed, market pricing at 100% for Craig reflects the completed vote count, though final certification or any narrow procedural disputes could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before full resolution.

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Wolumen
$426,582
Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 19, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).Bev Craig secured a decisive victory in the July 30, 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral by-election, capturing 66.3% in the second round against Reform UK's Sian Astley. As the Labour and Co-operative Party nominee and Manchester City Council leader, Craig benefited from strong party infrastructure, name recognition across the region, and pledges to expand affordable public transport options such as the Bee Network fare caps. The contest followed the departure of the prior officeholder, creating an open race where Labour's established voter base in the combined authority delivered a commanding margin. With results now confirmed, market pricing at 100% for Craig reflects the completed vote count, though final certification or any narrow procedural disputes could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before full resolution.

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Wolumen
$426,582
Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 19, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 14 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Bev Craig" z 100%, za nim "Marlon Scott West" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" wygenerował $426.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 19, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 14 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Bev Craig" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Marlon Scott West" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.