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icon for CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Melat Kiros 100.0%

Carter Hanson <1%

Christopher Oldfield <1%

Diana DeGette <1%

Polymarket

$330,201 Vol.

Melat Kiros 100.0%

Carter Hanson <1%

Christopher Oldfield <1%

Diana DeGette <1%

Polymarket

$330,201 Vol.

Carter Hanson

$1,019 Vol.

No

Christopher Oldfield

$988 Vol.

No

Diana DeGette

$110,330 Vol.

No

Melat Kiros

$213,423 Vol.

Yes

Santiago Palomino

$1,570 Vol.

No

Tiffany Rodgers

$920 Vol.

No

Wanda James

$1,950 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Diana DeGette holds the leading position in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 1st Congressional District, supported by nearly three decades of seniority, established fundraising, and name recognition in the heavily Democratic Denver-based seat. Melat Kiros follows as the primary challenger, backed by progressive endorsements, a strong performance at the party assembly, and emphasis on generational change, Medicare for all, and housing priorities. Wanda James and lesser-known candidates trail due to limited visibility and resources. Recent candidate forums, issue-focused interviews, and reports of attack ads have underscored the contest between institutional experience and calls for new leadership, with the short timeline to primary day limiting further shifts in positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$330,201
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Diana DeGette holds the leading position in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 1st Congressional District, supported by nearly three decades of seniority, established fundraising, and name recognition in the heavily Democratic Denver-based seat. Melat Kiros follows as the primary challenger, backed by progressive endorsements, a strong performance at the party assembly, and emphasis on generational change, Medicare for all, and housing priorities. Wanda James and lesser-known candidates trail due to limited visibility and resources. Recent candidate forums, issue-focused interviews, and reports of attack ads have underscored the contest between institutional experience and calls for new leadership, with the short timeline to primary day limiting further shifts in positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$330,201
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Melat Kiros" at 100%, followed by "Carter Hanson" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $330.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Melat Kiros" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carter Hanson" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.