Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 29 points, and her prior general election victories near 78-80%. She advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from ratings of Solid or Safe Republican across forecasting outlets. Multiple independent candidates have filed but lack competitive resources or visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural Republican advantage and historical patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
3%
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 29 points, and her prior general election victories near 78-80%. She advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from ratings of Solid or Safe Republican across forecasting outlets. Multiple independent candidates have filed but lack competitive resources or visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural Republican advantage and historical patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,113End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 29 points, and her prior general election victories near 78-80%. She advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from ratings of Solid or Safe Republican across forecasting outlets. Multiple independent candidates have filed but lack competitive resources or visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural Republican advantage and historical patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,113End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 29 points, and her prior general election victories near 78-80%. She advanced unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from ratings of Solid or Safe Republican across forecasting outlets. Multiple independent candidates have filed but lack competitive resources or visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural Republican advantage and historical patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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