Diana Harshbarger’s incumbency and the district’s entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus in the TN-01 race. The northeast Tennessee seat has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins, including a 29-point Trump victory in 2024, and Harshbarger won her prior general elections with roughly 78 percent of the vote. She advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination against limited opposition. Fundraising data shows Harshbarger maintaining a substantial edge, and no recent polling or late-cycle events have altered the fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,122 Vol.
$27,122 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
2%
$27,122 Vol.
$27,122 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,682 Vol.
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,439 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Diana Harshbarger’s incumbency and the district’s entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus in the TN-01 race. The northeast Tennessee seat has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins, including a 29-point Trump victory in 2024, and Harshbarger won her prior general elections with roughly 78 percent of the vote. She advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination against limited opposition. Fundraising data shows Harshbarger maintaining a substantial edge, and no recent polling or late-cycle events have altered the fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,122End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Diana Harshbarger’s incumbency and the district’s entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus in the TN-01 race. The northeast Tennessee seat has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins, including a 29-point Trump victory in 2024, and Harshbarger won her prior general elections with roughly 78 percent of the vote. She advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination against limited opposition. Fundraising data shows Harshbarger maintaining a substantial edge, and no recent polling or late-cycle events have altered the fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,122End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Diana Harshbarger’s incumbency and the district’s entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus in the TN-01 race. The northeast Tennessee seat has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins, including a 29-point Trump victory in 2024, and Harshbarger won her prior general elections with roughly 78 percent of the vote. She advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Kristi Burke secured her party’s nomination against limited opposition. Fundraising data shows Harshbarger maintaining a substantial edge, and no recent polling or late-cycle events have altered the fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s partisan baseline before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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