Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and strong performance in the 2024 general election. Himes advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party's nod in August with limited resources and no significant national momentum behind the challenge. Fundraising data shows Himes maintaining over $1.3 million raised compared to Goldstein's roughly $47,000, reinforcing the gap in campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$48,385 Vol.
$48,385 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
98%
Michael Goldstein (R)
1%
$48,385 Vol.
$48,385 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
$22,193 Vol.
98%
Michael Goldstein (R)
$26,193 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and strong performance in the 2024 general election. Himes advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party's nod in August with limited resources and no significant national momentum behind the challenge. Fundraising data shows Himes maintaining over $1.3 million raised compared to Goldstein's roughly $47,000, reinforcing the gap in campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$48,385End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and strong performance in the 2024 general election. Himes advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party's nod in August with limited resources and no significant national momentum behind the challenge. Fundraising data shows Himes maintaining over $1.3 million raised compared to Goldstein's roughly $47,000, reinforcing the gap in campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,385End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and strong performance in the 2024 general election. Himes advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party's nod in August with limited resources and no significant national momentum behind the challenge. Fundraising data shows Himes maintaining over $1.3 million raised compared to Goldstein's roughly $47,000, reinforcing the gap in campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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