Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces no primary opposition as he seeks a ninth term in Georgia’s solidly Republican 8th district, where he captured nearly 69 percent of the vote in 2024. The district’s conservative electorate, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive challengers sustain the 90.5 percent Republican outcome probability reflected in current trader consensus. A Democratic primary on May 19 will select either Justin Lucas or Kelly Esti to face Scott in the November general election, yet neither candidate has mounted significant organization or resources. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major national midterm swing, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions leave little room for reversal before November 3, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-08 House Election Winner
GA-08 House Election Winner
$33,492 Vol.
$33,492 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
7%
$33,492 Vol.
$33,492 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,258 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$17,233 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces no primary opposition as he seeks a ninth term in Georgia’s solidly Republican 8th district, where he captured nearly 69 percent of the vote in 2024. The district’s conservative electorate, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive challengers sustain the 90.5 percent Republican outcome probability reflected in current trader consensus. A Democratic primary on May 19 will select either Justin Lucas or Kelly Esti to face Scott in the November general election, yet neither candidate has mounted significant organization or resources. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major national midterm swing, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions leave little room for reversal before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,492End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces no primary opposition as he seeks a ninth term in Georgia’s solidly Republican 8th district, where he captured nearly 69 percent of the vote in 2024. The district’s conservative electorate, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive challengers sustain the 90.5 percent Republican outcome probability reflected in current trader consensus. A Democratic primary on May 19 will select either Justin Lucas or Kelly Esti to face Scott in the November general election, yet neither candidate has mounted significant organization or resources. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major national midterm swing, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions leave little room for reversal before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,492End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces no primary opposition as he seeks a ninth term in Georgia’s solidly Republican 8th district, where he captured nearly 69 percent of the vote in 2024. The district’s conservative electorate, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive challengers sustain the 90.5 percent Republican outcome probability reflected in current trader consensus. A Democratic primary on May 19 will select either Justin Lucas or Kelly Esti to face Scott in the November general election, yet neither candidate has mounted significant organization or resources. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major national midterm swing, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions leave little room for reversal before November 3, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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