Virginia's Democratic-controlled General Assembly advanced a proposed constitutional amendment to protect abortion access after the state Senate passed SJ-319 21-19 along party lines on March 4, boosting trader consensus toward passage at 64% implied probability for Yes. The House of Delegates had earlier approved companion HJ-589 by 51-45, and Democrats indicate readiness to concur on Senate language before the March 9 session end, placing the measure on the November ballot for voter approval. This progress reflects Democrats' 2023 legislative majorities amid post-Dobbs momentum, though Republican opposition from Governor Youngkin and potential swing voter dynamics in the purple state temper full certainty, with traders weighing historical ballot trends on reproductive rights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Virginia's Democratic-controlled General Assembly advanced a proposed constitutional amendment to protect abortion access after the state Senate passed SJ-319 21-19 along party lines on March 4, boosting trader consensus toward passage at 64% implied probability for Yes. The House of Delegates had earlier approved companion HJ-589 by 51-45, and Democrats indicate readiness to concur on Senate language before the March 9 session end, placing the measure on the November ballot for voter approval. This progress reflects Democrats' 2023 legislative majorities amid post-Dobbs momentum, though Republican opposition from Governor Youngkin and potential swing voter dynamics in the purple state temper full certainty, with traders weighing historical ballot trends on reproductive rights.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Virginia's Democratic-controlled General Assembly advanced a proposed constitutional amendment to protect abortion access after the state Senate passed SJ-319 21-19 along party lines on March 4, boosting trader consensus toward passage at 64% implied probability for Yes. The House of Delegates had earlier approved companion HJ-589 by 51-45, and Democrats indicate readiness to concur on Senate language before the March 9 session end, placing the measure on the November ballot for voter approval. This progress reflects Democrats' 2023 legislative majorities amid post-Dobbs momentum, though Republican opposition from Governor Youngkin and potential swing voter dynamics in the purple state temper full certainty, with traders weighing historical ballot trends on reproductive rights.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia's Democratic-controlled General Assembly advanced a proposed constitutional amendment to protect abortion access after the state Senate passed SJ-319 21-19 along party lines on March 4, boosting trader consensus toward passage at 64% implied probability for Yes. The House of Delegates had earlier approved companion HJ-589 by 51-45, and Democrats indicate readiness to concur on Senate language before the March 9 session end, placing the measure on the November ballot for voter approval. This progress reflects Democrats' 2023 legislative majorities amid post-Dobbs momentum, though Republican opposition from Governor Youngkin and potential swing voter dynamics in the purple state temper full certainty, with traders weighing historical ballot trends on reproductive rights.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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