Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, who has held the seat since 1999, faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones in California's June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary for the 4th Congressional District. The race occurs in a heavily Democratic district altered by redistricting under Proposition 50, with Thompson maintaining strong institutional support and name recognition while Jones, a venture capitalist and political newcomer, has out-raised the incumbent in recent fundraising. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Ray Riehle, are also on the ballot, though the top-two advance system favors Democratic frontrunners in this D+50 environment. No major late developments have shifted positioning ahead of the primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$31,460 Vol.
Mike Thompson
95%
Eric Jones
91%
John Wesley Tyler
11%
Heath Fulkerson
5%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
Trevor Merrell
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$31,460 Vol.
Mike Thompson
95%
Eric Jones
91%
John Wesley Tyler
11%
Heath Fulkerson
5%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
Trevor Merrell
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mike Thompson, who has held the seat since 1999, faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones in California's June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary for the 4th Congressional District. The race occurs in a heavily Democratic district altered by redistricting under Proposition 50, with Thompson maintaining strong institutional support and name recognition while Jones, a venture capitalist and political newcomer, has out-raised the incumbent in recent fundraising. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Ray Riehle, are also on the ballot, though the top-two advance system favors Democratic frontrunners in this D+50 environment. No major late developments have shifted positioning ahead of the primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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