Recent polling and campaign momentum position Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon as the strong favorite to finish second in the Makerfield by-election, with Labour's Andy Burnham widely expected to win. Kenyon benefits from Reform's established second-place showing in the 2024 general election, voter frustration with national politics, and emphasis on immigration alongside local concerns, reinforced by high-profile endorsements and a recent BBC debate. Burnham's selection as the parachuted Greater Manchester mayor has drawn national scrutiny but maintains a narrow lead in final-week surveys. Minor candidates like Rebecca Shepherd trail far behind with limited traction. The contest on 18 June remains closely watched due to its potential Westminster implications.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Robert Kenyon 74%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 3.0%
John Skipworth <1%
$149,663 交易量
$149,663 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
74%
Andy Burnham
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
John Skipworth
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 74%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 3.0%
John Skipworth <1%
$149,663 交易量
$149,663 交易量
2026-06-18
Robert Kenyon
$5,494 交易量
74%
Andy Burnham
$4,221 交易量
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
$135,425 交易量
3%
John Skipworth
$1,215 交易量
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 交易量
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 交易量
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and campaign momentum position Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon as the strong favorite to finish second in the Makerfield by-election, with Labour's Andy Burnham widely expected to win. Kenyon benefits from Reform's established second-place showing in the 2024 general election, voter frustration with national politics, and emphasis on immigration alongside local concerns, reinforced by high-profile endorsements and a recent BBC debate. Burnham's selection as the parachuted Greater Manchester mayor has drawn national scrutiny but maintains a narrow lead in final-week surveys. Minor candidates like Rebecca Shepherd trail far behind with limited traction. The contest on 18 June remains closely watched due to its potential Westminster implications.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$149,663结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and campaign momentum position Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon as the strong favorite to finish second in the Makerfield by-election, with Labour's Andy Burnham widely expected to win. Kenyon benefits from Reform's established second-place showing in the 2024 general election, voter frustration with national politics, and emphasis on immigration alongside local concerns, reinforced by high-profile endorsements and a recent BBC debate. Burnham's selection as the parachuted Greater Manchester mayor has drawn national scrutiny but maintains a narrow lead in final-week surveys. Minor candidates like Rebecca Shepherd trail far behind with limited traction. The contest on 18 June remains closely watched due to its potential Westminster implications.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$149,663结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and campaign momentum position Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon as the strong favorite to finish second in the Makerfield by-election, with Labour's Andy Burnham widely expected to win. Kenyon benefits from Reform's established second-place showing in the 2024 general election, voter frustration with national politics, and emphasis on immigration alongside local concerns, reinforced by high-profile endorsements and a recent BBC debate. Burnham's selection as the parachuted Greater Manchester mayor has drawn national scrutiny but maintains a narrow lead in final-week surveys. Minor candidates like Rebecca Shepherd trail far behind with limited traction. The contest on 18 June remains closely watched due to its potential Westminster implications.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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