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icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Robert Kenyon 75%

Andy Burnham 22.3%

Rebecca Shepherd 3.3%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$149,855 Vol.

Robert Kenyon 75%

Andy Burnham 22.3%

Rebecca Shepherd 3.3%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$149,855 Vol.

Robert Kenyon

$5,494 Vol.

75%

Andy Burnham

$4,221 Vol.

22%

Rebecca Shepherd

$135,606 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$788 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, follows Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat.** This has turned the contest into a high-profile national event, with polls showing Burnham (Labour) holding a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor who previously placed second for Reform in the 2024 general election. Kenyon benefits from strong underlying Reform support in the constituency—where the party secured over 30% in 2024 and leads generic ballots—along with voter frustration over cost-of-living issues, immigration, and energy policy. Minor candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail far behind in all surveys. Trader consensus prices Kenyon as the clear favourite for second place because recent named-candidate polling consistently places him behind only Burnham, with the gap attributable to the latter’s personal profile rather than a broad shift away from Reform. Developments in the final week, including candidate debates and local campaigning, have reinforced this two-way dynamic without materially altering the ordering. The short timeline to polling day limits scope for late swings that could elevate another contender into second.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$149,855
Enddatum
18. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, follows Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat.** This has turned the contest into a high-profile national event, with polls showing Burnham (Labour) holding a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor who previously placed second for Reform in the 2024 general election. Kenyon benefits from strong underlying Reform support in the constituency—where the party secured over 30% in 2024 and leads generic ballots—along with voter frustration over cost-of-living issues, immigration, and energy policy. Minor candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail far behind in all surveys. Trader consensus prices Kenyon as the clear favourite for second place because recent named-candidate polling consistently places him behind only Burnham, with the gap attributable to the latter’s personal profile rather than a broad shift away from Reform. Developments in the final week, including candidate debates and local campaigning, have reinforced this two-way dynamic without materially altering the ordering. The short timeline to polling day limits scope for late swings that could elevate another contender into second.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$149,855
Enddatum
18. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Robert Kenyon" mit 75%, gefolgt von „Andy Burnham" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 75¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 75% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $149.9K generiert, seit der Markt am May 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" ist „Robert Kenyon" mit 75%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 75% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Andy Burnham" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.