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icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Robert Kenyon 75%

Andy Burnham 22.3%

Rebecca Shepherd 3.3%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$149,855 Vol.

Robert Kenyon 75%

Andy Burnham 22.3%

Rebecca Shepherd 3.3%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$149,855 Vol.

Robert Kenyon

$5,494 Vol.

75%

Andy Burnham

$4,221 Vol.

22%

Rebecca Shepherd

$135,606 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$788 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Makerfield by-election voters head to the polls on 18 June after Labour MP Josh Simons resigned to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat.** Recent constituency polling shows Burnham holding a narrow to moderate lead for Labour, with Reform UK's Robert Kenyon—the local plumber and councillor who placed second for the party in 2024—running close behind on 37-40 percent. Other candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain, register low single-digit support. The contest has settled into a two-horse dynamic, with traders assigning Kenyon a strong probability of finishing second given Labour's structural advantage in the former safe seat and the absence of any late surge for minor parties. Campaign focus on local economic pressures and turnout patterns reinforces this positioning ahead of the result.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$149,855
Date de fin
18 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Makerfield by-election voters head to the polls on 18 June after Labour MP Josh Simons resigned to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat.** Recent constituency polling shows Burnham holding a narrow to moderate lead for Labour, with Reform UK's Robert Kenyon—the local plumber and councillor who placed second for the party in 2024—running close behind on 37-40 percent. Other candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain, register low single-digit support. The contest has settled into a two-horse dynamic, with traders assigning Kenyon a strong probability of finishing second given Labour's structural advantage in the former safe seat and the absence of any late surge for minor parties. Campaign focus on local economic pressures and turnout patterns reinforces this positioning ahead of the result.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$149,855
Date de fin
18 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Robert Kenyon » à 75%, suivi de « Andy Burnham » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 75¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place » a généré $149.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place » est « Robert Kenyon » à 75%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Andy Burnham » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.