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icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Politik·UK

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Politik·UK

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Robert Kenyon 78%

Andy Burnham 20.8%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.8%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$153,589 Vol.

Robert Kenyon 78%

Andy Burnham 20.8%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.8%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$153,589 Vol.

Robert Kenyon

$5,645 Vol.

78%

Andy Burnham

$4,341 Vol.

21%

Rebecca Shepherd

$139,069 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$788 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Robert Kenyon leads the market for second place in the 18 June 2026 Makerfield by-election at 78%, reflecting trader consensus that Reform UK’s local candidate will finish runner-up behind Labour’s Andy Burnham.** The constituency, a traditional Labour seat in Greater Manchester, triggered the contest after incumbent Josh Simons resigned in May. Kenyon, a plumber, army reservist, and recently elected Reform councillor born in the area, benefits from Reform’s recent momentum and framing of the race as a direct challenge to establishment politics. Burnham, the high-profile Greater Manchester mayor selected by Labour’s NEC, is widely viewed as the prohibitive favourite for victory given his name recognition and the party’s local base, which positions him far ahead of any realistic path to second. Recent constituency polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead but with the contest remaining competitive on issues such as immigration, cost of living, and crime. Kenyon’s past online comments have drawn criticism, yet this has not shifted the market’s assessment that minor-party candidates (including the Conservatives, Greens, and Liberal Democrats) lack the support to overtake Reform. The proximity of polling day on 18 June has reinforced the two-horse dynamic in trader pricing.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$153,589
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Robert Kenyon leads the market for second place in the 18 June 2026 Makerfield by-election at 78%, reflecting trader consensus that Reform UK’s local candidate will finish runner-up behind Labour’s Andy Burnham.** The constituency, a traditional Labour seat in Greater Manchester, triggered the contest after incumbent Josh Simons resigned in May. Kenyon, a plumber, army reservist, and recently elected Reform councillor born in the area, benefits from Reform’s recent momentum and framing of the race as a direct challenge to establishment politics. Burnham, the high-profile Greater Manchester mayor selected by Labour’s NEC, is widely viewed as the prohibitive favourite for victory given his name recognition and the party’s local base, which positions him far ahead of any realistic path to second. Recent constituency polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead but with the contest remaining competitive on issues such as immigration, cost of living, and crime. Kenyon’s past online comments have drawn criticism, yet this has not shifted the market’s assessment that minor-party candidates (including the Conservatives, Greens, and Liberal Democrats) lack the support to overtake Reform. The proximity of polling day on 18 June has reinforced the two-horse dynamic in trader pricing.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$153,589
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Robert Kenyon" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Andy Burnham" di 21%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $153.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" adalah "Robert Kenyon" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Andy Burnham" di 21%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.