Skip to main content
icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Robert Kenyon 75%

Andy Burnham 22.9%

Rebecca Shepherd 3.0%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$152,082 Vol.

Robert Kenyon 75%

Andy Burnham 22.9%

Rebecca Shepherd 3.0%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$152,082 Vol.

Robert Kenyon

$5,494 Vol.

75%

Andy Burnham

$4,221 Vol.

23%

Rebecca Shepherd

$137,834 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$788 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and local election trends position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election, reflecting the party's strong local performance and voter frustration with mainstream options on issues such as immigration and living costs. Andy Burnham, the Labour candidate and Greater Manchester mayor with deep constituency ties, leads narrowly in surveys but is expected to take first, leaving Kenyon as the main challenger in what analysts describe as a two-horse contest. Minor candidates including Rebecca Shepherd trail far behind with negligible support, consistent with historical patterns where smaller parties struggle in high-profile by-elections. The final-week debate and Reform's intensive campaign have reinforced this dynamic without shifting the overall positioning.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$152,082
Data de Término
18 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and local election trends position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election, reflecting the party's strong local performance and voter frustration with mainstream options on issues such as immigration and living costs. Andy Burnham, the Labour candidate and Greater Manchester mayor with deep constituency ties, leads narrowly in surveys but is expected to take first, leaving Kenyon as the main challenger in what analysts describe as a two-horse contest. Minor candidates including Rebecca Shepherd trail far behind with negligible support, consistent with historical patterns where smaller parties struggle in high-profile by-elections. The final-week debate and Reform's intensive campaign have reinforced this dynamic without shifting the overall positioning.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$152,082
Data de Término
18 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 75%, followed by "Andy Burnham" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" has generated $152.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" is "Robert Kenyon" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.