Recent polling shows Labour’s Andy Burnham holding a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, establishing the contest as a two-horse race between these candidates. Kenyon’s strong local profile as a Reform contender, combined with Reform’s broader momentum in the constituency on issues such as immigration and cost of living, positions him as the clear alternative should Labour hold the seat. Minor-party candidates including the Conservatives, Greens, and Liberal Democrats register minimal support in surveys, limiting their prospects for second place. High-profile endorsements and a recent candidate debate have reinforced the Burnham-Kenyon dynamic without materially shifting the polling gap. Trader consensus therefore reflects Kenyon as the probable runner-up if Burnham secures victory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMakerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Robert Kenyon 78%
Andy Burnham 20.8%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$153,602 Vol.
$153,602 Vol.
18 juin 2026
Robert Kenyon
78%
Andy Burnham
21%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 78%
Andy Burnham 20.8%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$153,602 Vol.
$153,602 Vol.
18 juin 2026
Robert Kenyon
$5,647 Vol.
78%
Andy Burnham
$4,341 Vol.
21%
Rebecca Shepherd
$139,080 Vol.
3%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 Vol.
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling shows Labour’s Andy Burnham holding a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, establishing the contest as a two-horse race between these candidates. Kenyon’s strong local profile as a Reform contender, combined with Reform’s broader momentum in the constituency on issues such as immigration and cost of living, positions him as the clear alternative should Labour hold the seat. Minor-party candidates including the Conservatives, Greens, and Liberal Democrats register minimal support in surveys, limiting their prospects for second place. High-profile endorsements and a recent candidate debate have reinforced the Burnham-Kenyon dynamic without materially shifting the polling gap. Trader consensus therefore reflects Kenyon as the probable runner-up if Burnham secures victory.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$153,602Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling shows Labour’s Andy Burnham holding a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, establishing the contest as a two-horse race between these candidates. Kenyon’s strong local profile as a Reform contender, combined with Reform’s broader momentum in the constituency on issues such as immigration and cost of living, positions him as the clear alternative should Labour hold the seat. Minor-party candidates including the Conservatives, Greens, and Liberal Democrats register minimal support in surveys, limiting their prospects for second place. High-profile endorsements and a recent candidate debate have reinforced the Burnham-Kenyon dynamic without materially shifting the polling gap. Trader consensus therefore reflects Kenyon as the probable runner-up if Burnham secures victory.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$153,602Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Labour’s Andy Burnham holding a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, establishing the contest as a two-horse race between these candidates. Kenyon’s strong local profile as a Reform contender, combined with Reform’s broader momentum in the constituency on issues such as immigration and cost of living, positions him as the clear alternative should Labour hold the seat. Minor-party candidates including the Conservatives, Greens, and Liberal Democrats register minimal support in surveys, limiting their prospects for second place. High-profile endorsements and a recent candidate debate have reinforced the Burnham-Kenyon dynamic without materially shifting the polling gap. Trader consensus therefore reflects Kenyon as the probable runner-up if Burnham secures victory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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