US Election Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

20%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

20%

$207m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

16%

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

16%

$201m Vol.

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

65%

John Cornyn

26%

Ken Paxton

65%

John Cornyn

26%

$2m Vol.

Monthly
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner card icon

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner

63%

Janet Mills

33%

Graham Platner

63%

Janet Mills

33%

$1m Vol.

Monthly
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31? card icon

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

↑ 60%

3%

↑ 50%

3%

↑ 60%

3%

↑ 50%

3%

$51k Vol.

Monthly
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? card icon

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party

66%

Democratic Party

35%

Republican Party

66%

Democratic Party

35%

$466k Vol.

Monthly
Which party will win the House in 2026? card icon

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

79%

Republican Party

22%

Democratic Party

79%

Republican Party

22%

$2m Vol.

Monthly
Alaska Senate Election Winner card icon

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Dan Sullivan

49%

Mary Peltola

47%

Dan Sullivan

49%

Mary Peltola

47%

$204k Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? card icon

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

14%

48

15%

≤47

14%

48

15%

$44k Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner card icon

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Republican

85%

Democrat

12%

Republican

85%

Democrat

12%

NEW

Texas House Special Election Winner card icon

Texas House Special Election Winner

Christian Menefee

85%

Amanda Edwards

13%

Christian Menefee

85%

Amanda Edwards

13%

$202k Vol.

California Governor Election Winner card icon

California Governor Election Winner

Eric Swalwell

45%

Tom Steyer

16%

Eric Swalwell

45%

Tom Steyer

16%

$87k Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? card icon

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic

54%

Republican

47%

Democratic

54%

Republican

47%

$1m Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner card icon

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Republican

62%

Democrat

39%

Republican

62%

Democrat

39%

$19k Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner card icon

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat

69%

Republican

31%

Democrat

69%

Republican

31%

$29k Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner card icon

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Republican

65%

Democrat

36%

Republican

65%

Democrat

36%

$60k Vol.

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31? card icon

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

↑ 90%

3%

↑ 80%

3%

↑ 90%

3%

↑ 80%

3%

$67k Vol.

Monthly