Dina Titus’s strong position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District stems from the seat’s D+2 partisan lean, her long incumbency since 2013, and consistent reelection margins, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban and suburban composition around Las Vegas and Henderson. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the June 9, 2026 primaries, with Titus facing limited opposition and Buck emerging as the Republican nominee after strong fundraising that has kept pace with the incumbent. While Buck benefits from national Republican support and competitive cash on hand, structural factors such as redistricting and voter history continue to underpin trader consensus on Titus’s advantage. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,152 Vol.
$26,152 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Dina Titus (D)
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
6%
$26,152 Vol.
$26,152 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Dina Titus (D)
$9,691 Vol.
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
$16,461 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dina Titus’s strong position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District stems from the seat’s D+2 partisan lean, her long incumbency since 2013, and consistent reelection margins, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban and suburban composition around Las Vegas and Henderson. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the June 9, 2026 primaries, with Titus facing limited opposition and Buck emerging as the Republican nominee after strong fundraising that has kept pace with the incumbent. While Buck benefits from national Republican support and competitive cash on hand, structural factors such as redistricting and voter history continue to underpin trader consensus on Titus’s advantage. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$26,152End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dina Titus’s strong position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District stems from the seat’s D+2 partisan lean, her long incumbency since 2013, and consistent reelection margins, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban and suburban composition around Las Vegas and Henderson. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the June 9, 2026 primaries, with Titus facing limited opposition and Buck emerging as the Republican nominee after strong fundraising that has kept pace with the incumbent. While Buck benefits from national Republican support and competitive cash on hand, structural factors such as redistricting and voter history continue to underpin trader consensus on Titus’s advantage. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,152End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Dina Titus’s strong position in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District stems from the seat’s D+2 partisan lean, her long incumbency since 2013, and consistent reelection margins, including an eight-point victory in 2024. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban and suburban composition around Las Vegas and Henderson. Both candidates secured their nominations decisively in the June 9, 2026 primaries, with Titus facing limited opposition and Buck emerging as the Republican nominee after strong fundraising that has kept pace with the incumbent. While Buck benefits from national Republican support and competitive cash on hand, structural factors such as redistricting and voter history continue to underpin trader consensus on Titus’s advantage. Late-campaign shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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