Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District because the seat’s D+2 partisan voter index, her long tenure since 2013, and consistent reelection margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—have produced a durable structural edge. Primary results showed Titus securing roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed with 78 percent, yet forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic. Traders price Titus at 94.5 percent because no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the district’s underlying math. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing that boosts Republican turnout enough to overcome the seat’s established lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,022 Vol.
$26,022 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dina Titus (D)
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
6%
$26,022 Vol.
$26,022 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Dina Titus (D)
$9,591 Vol.
95%
Carrie Buck (R)
$16,431 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District because the seat’s D+2 partisan voter index, her long tenure since 2013, and consistent reelection margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—have produced a durable structural edge. Primary results showed Titus securing roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed with 78 percent, yet forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic. Traders price Titus at 94.5 percent because no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the district’s underlying math. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing that boosts Republican turnout enough to overcome the seat’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$26,022End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District because the seat’s D+2 partisan voter index, her long tenure since 2013, and consistent reelection margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—have produced a durable structural edge. Primary results showed Titus securing roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed with 78 percent, yet forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic. Traders price Titus at 94.5 percent because no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the district’s underlying math. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing that boosts Republican turnout enough to overcome the seat’s established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,022End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 1st Congressional District because the seat’s D+2 partisan voter index, her long tenure since 2013, and consistent reelection margins—including an eight-point win in 2024—have produced a durable structural edge. Primary results showed Titus securing roughly 76 percent of the Democratic vote while Republican nominee Carrie Buck prevailed with 78 percent, yet forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic. Traders price Titus at 94.5 percent because no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the district’s underlying math. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing that boosts Republican turnout enough to overcome the seat’s established lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions