Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s modest Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent fundraising edge in a Las Vegas-area battleground that last flipped in 2014. Multiple forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Lee’s narrow but repeated victories and the district’s voting patterns. Marty O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination with a Trump endorsement and heavy self-funding, yet the race has shown limited movement since the June primaries. A late national Republican surge, strong turnout on economic messaging such as tax relief or border security, or unexpected shifts in voter preference could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
$4,731 Vol.
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
$2,496 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s modest Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent fundraising edge in a Las Vegas-area battleground that last flipped in 2014. Multiple forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Lee’s narrow but repeated victories and the district’s voting patterns. Marty O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination with a Trump endorsement and heavy self-funding, yet the race has shown limited movement since the June primaries. A late national Republican surge, strong turnout on economic messaging such as tax relief or border security, or unexpected shifts in voter preference could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$7,228End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s modest Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent fundraising edge in a Las Vegas-area battleground that last flipped in 2014. Multiple forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Lee’s narrow but repeated victories and the district’s voting patterns. Marty O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination with a Trump endorsement and heavy self-funding, yet the race has shown limited movement since the June primaries. A late national Republican surge, strong turnout on economic messaging such as tax relief or border security, or unexpected shifts in voter preference could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,228End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Susie Lee maintains a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district due to the seat’s modest Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and consistent fundraising edge in a Las Vegas-area battleground that last flipped in 2014. Multiple forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting Lee’s narrow but repeated victories and the district’s voting patterns. Marty O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination with a Trump endorsement and heavy self-funding, yet the race has shown limited movement since the June primaries. A late national Republican surge, strong turnout on economic messaging such as tax relief or border security, or unexpected shifts in voter preference could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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