Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a western Las Vegas suburban seat last won by Republicans in 2014. Traders reflect her strong primary performance, consistent fundraising edge, and backing from organized labor in a district rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters. Martin O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination after a competitive primary and received a presidential endorsement, yet faces structural headwinds including the district’s recent narrow Democratic margins. Heavy outside spending on both sides continues into the fall, with campaigns highlighting economic issues such as tourism and tax policy. Late developments including turnout shifts or national political changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSusie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a western Las Vegas suburban seat last won by Republicans in 2014. Traders reflect her strong primary performance, consistent fundraising edge, and backing from organized labor in a district rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters. Martin O’Donnell secured the Republican nomination after a competitive primary and received a presidential endorsement, yet faces structural headwinds including the district’s recent narrow Democratic margins. Heavy outside spending on both sides continues into the fall, with campaigns highlighting economic issues such as tourism and tax policy. Late developments including turnout shifts or national political changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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