Skip to main content
icon for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner

Teresa Ruiz 100.0%

Brett Newby <1%

Michael Butts <1%

Polymarket

$25,650 Vol.

Teresa Ruiz 100.0%

Brett Newby <1%

Michael Butts <1%

Polymarket

$25,650 Vol.

Brett Newby

$7,179 Vol.

No

Michael Butts

$319 Vol.

No

Teresa Ruiz

$18,152 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The closely matched odds in this Democratic primary reflect a low-visibility race between Teresa Leyba Ruiz and Brett Newby ahead of the July 21, 2026, contest, with Michael Butts having withdrawn. Both candidates bring education-sector experience—Ruiz as a former community college president and Newby as an educator and behavior analyst—and have participated in recent debates that highlighted overlapping priorities on school funding, mental health support, and curriculum standards without producing clear differentiation in voter outreach. Early voting, which began June 24, combined with limited public polling and modest campaign resources, has kept trader consensus tight. Additional separation could emerge from final-week endorsements by party leaders or unions, stronger performance in rural versus urban turnout data, or late campaign announcements on specific policy proposals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,650
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The closely matched odds in this Democratic primary reflect a low-visibility race between Teresa Leyba Ruiz and Brett Newby ahead of the July 21, 2026, contest, with Michael Butts having withdrawn. Both candidates bring education-sector experience—Ruiz as a former community college president and Newby as an educator and behavior analyst—and have participated in recent debates that highlighted overlapping priorities on school funding, mental health support, and curriculum standards without producing clear differentiation in voter outreach. Early voting, which began June 24, combined with limited public polling and modest campaign resources, has kept trader consensus tight. Additional separation could emerge from final-week endorsements by party leaders or unions, stronger performance in rural versus urban turnout data, or late campaign announcements on specific policy proposals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,650
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Teresa Ruiz" at 100%, followed by "Brett Newby" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $25.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner" is "Teresa Ruiz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brett Newby" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.