Harvey Weinstein prison time?

No Prison Time

28%

Yes28%No72%

10-20 years

Yes8%No92%

$662K Vol.

NCAA Tournament

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

82%

chance

Yes

$20K Vol.

BitBoy convicted?

chance

Yes

$220K Vol.

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

67%

chance

Yes

NEW

$13K Vol.

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$584K Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

38%

chance

Yes

$313K Vol.

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

chance

Yes

$57K Vol.

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

34%

chance

Yes

$87K Vol.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

December 31

52%

Yes52%No48%

March 31

Yes1%No99%

$32K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

100%

chance

Yes

$141K Vol.

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

<1%

chance

Yes

$67K Vol.

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

chance

Yes

NEW

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

<1%

chance

Yes

$106K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

60+

39%

Yes39%No61%

No prison time

29%

Yes29%No71%

$389K Vol.

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

27%

chance

Yes

$109K Vol.

Jack Smith charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

NEW

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 31

54%

Yes54%No46%

July 31

15%

Yes15%No85%

$925K Vol.

Maduro guilty of all counts?

32%

chance

Yes

$98K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

$54K Vol.

Courts

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

No Prison Time

28%

Yes28%No72%

10-20 years

Yes8%No92%

$662K Vol.

NCAA Tournament

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

82%

chance

Yes

$20K Vol.

BitBoy convicted?

chance

Yes

$220K Vol.

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

67%

chance

Yes

NEW

$13K Vol.

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$584K Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

38%

chance

Yes

$313K Vol.

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

chance

Yes

$57K Vol.

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

34%

chance

Yes

$87K Vol.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

December 31

52%

Yes52%No48%

March 31

Yes1%No99%

$32K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

100%

chance

Yes

$141K Vol.

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

<1%

chance

Yes

$67K Vol.

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

chance

Yes

NEW

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

<1%

chance

Yes

$106K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

60+

39%

Yes39%No61%

No prison time

29%

Yes29%No71%

$389K Vol.

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

27%

chance

Yes

$109K Vol.

Jack Smith charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

NEW

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 31

54%

Yes54%No46%

July 31

15%

Yes15%No85%

$925K Vol.

Maduro guilty of all counts?

32%

chance

Yes

$98K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

$54K Vol.