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Cabinet Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Cabinet

AllTrumpTexas SenateMarch 3 PrimariesMidtermsEpsteinPrimariesGlobal ElectionsChinaVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsBrazilCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

30%

Yes30%No70%

None before 2027

18%

Yes18%No82%

$138K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? card icon

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$159K Vol.

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? card icon

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$80K Vol.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31? card icon

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$22K Vol.

Trump cabinet member out by...? card icon

Trump cabinet member out by...?

March 31, 2026

15%

Yes15%No85%

June 30, 2026

64%

Yes64%No36%

NEW

All

Trump

Texas Senate

March 3 Primaries

Midterms

Epstein

Primaries

Global Elections

China

Venezuela

Courts

US Election

Trade War

Congress

Mayoral Elections

Brazil

Cabinet

Senate

Israel

Canada

Cabinet

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

30%

Yes30%No70%

None before 2027

18%

Yes18%No82%

$138K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? card icon

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$159K Vol.

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? card icon

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$80K Vol.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31? card icon

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$22K Vol.

Trump cabinet member out by...? card icon

Trump cabinet member out by...?

March 31, 2026

15%

Yes15%No85%

June 30, 2026

64%

Yes64%No36%

NEW

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