Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 20

<1%

January 21

<1%

January 20

<1%

January 21

<1%

$13m Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

15%

chance

$13m Vol.

Monthly

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

chance

$4m Vol.

Monthly

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

21%

February 15

35%

January 31

21%

February 15

35%

$5m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

chance

$1m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 20

<1%

January 22

30%

January 20

<1%

January 22

30%

$2m Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 20

January 22

30%

January 20

January 22

30%

$4m Vol.

Daily

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Turkiye

100%

Hungary

100%

Turkiye

100%

Hungary

100%

NEW

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$175k Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

24%

chance

$7m Vol.

Daily

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

15%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Syria

33%

Kuwait

29%

Syria

33%

Kuwait

29%

$89k Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

37%

chance

$3m Vol.

Daily

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

January 31

March 31, 2026

28%

January 31

March 31, 2026

28%

$2m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

22%

chance

$935k Vol.

Monthly

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

42%

chance

$1m Vol.

Monthly

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

January 31

13%

February 28

32%

January 31

13%

February 28

32%

$596k Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

49%

chance

$2m Vol.

Daily

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

January 31

March 31

13%

January 31

March 31

13%

$165k Vol.

Weekly

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

United States

Italy

16%

United States

Italy

16%

$234k Vol.

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Israel Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

Politics