Market icon
World·Israel

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Market icon
World·Israel

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

$848,527 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$848,527 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$655,107 Vol.

<1%

June 30

$110,111 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, clinging to a razor-thin 61-seat majority following Benny Gantz's National Unity party exit from the war cabinet in June over Gaza strategy disagreements. Recent tensions peaked in late June when ultra-Orthodox (haredi) parties threatened collapse amid a contentious military draft exemption bill, which passed narrowly but exposed deep rifts. No dissolution vote has advanced since an opposition bill introduced October 29 failed to gain traction. Traders eye the March 2025 state budget deadline—failure triggers automatic dissolution—as the key risk, alongside ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks and haredi enlistment disputes that could prompt no-confidence votes or snap elections before the October 2026 mandate expiry.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, clinging to a razor-thin 61-seat majority following Benny Gantz's National Unity party exit from the war cabinet in June over Gaza strategy disagreements. Recent tensions peaked in late June when ultra-Orthodox (haredi) parties threatened collapse amid a contentious military draft exemption bill, which passed narrowly but exposed deep rifts. No dissolution vote has advanced since an opposition bill introduced October 29 failed to gain traction. Traders eye the March 2025 state budget deadline—failure triggers automatic dissolution—as the key risk, alongside ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks and haredi enlistment disputes that could prompt no-confidence votes or snap elections before the October 2026 mandate expiry.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, clinging to a razor-thin 61-seat majority following Benny Gantz's National Unity party exit from the war cabinet in June over Gaza strategy disagreements. Recent tensions peaked in late June when ultra-Orthodox (haredi) parties threatened collapse amid a contentious military draft exemption bill, which passed narrowly but exposed deep rifts. No dissolution vote has advanced since an opposition bill introduced October 29 failed to gain traction. Traders eye the March 2025 state budget deadline—failure triggers automatic dissolution—as the key risk, alongside ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks and haredi enlistment disputes that could prompt no-confidence votes or snap elections before the October 2026 mandate expiry.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, clinging to a razor-thin 61-seat majority following Benny Gantz's National Unity party exit from the war cabinet in June over Gaza strategy disagreements. Recent tensions peaked in late June when ultra-Orthodox (haredi) parties threatened collapse amid a contentious military draft exemption bill, which passed narrowly but exposed deep rifts. No dissolution vote has advanced since an opposition bill introduced October 29 failed to gain traction. Traders eye the March 2025 state budget deadline—failure triggers automatic dissolution—as the key risk, alongside ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks and haredi enlistment disputes that could prompt no-confidence votes or snap elections before the October 2026 mandate expiry.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

29%
Market icon

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

10%
Market icon

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

24%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 28%, followed by "March 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israeli parliament dissolved by...?" has generated $848.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israeli parliament dissolved by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israeli parliament dissolved by...?" is "June 30" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israeli parliament dissolved by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.