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Trade War

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsFrench ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
Will Trump visit China by...? card icon

Will Trump visit China by...?

June 30

81%

Yes81%No19%

May 31

79%

Yes79%No21%

$14M Vol.

NCAA Tournament

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31? card icon

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

5–15%

97%

Yes97%No3%

15–25%

3%

Yes3%No97%

$993K Vol.

US x Cuba economic deal by...? card icon

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

June 30

39%

Yes39%No61%

April 30

22%

Yes22%No78%

$68K Vol.

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? card icon

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

55%

chance

Yes

No

$55K Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? card icon

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

45%

chance

Yes

No

$323K Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? card icon

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

India

25%

Yes25%No75%

Brazil

25%

Yes25%No75%

$140K Vol.

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? card icon

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

<1%

chance

Yes

No

$397K Vol.

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31? card icon

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$25K Vol.

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June? card icon

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

$60

62%

Yes62%No38%

$65

61%

Yes61%No39%

$207K Vol.

Monthly
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? card icon

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

98%

chance

Yes

No

$61K Vol.

US Trade Deficit in 2026? card icon

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B

33%

Yes33%No67%

900B–1T

28%

Yes28%No72%

NEW

All

1.7K

Trump

314

Midterms

547

Global Elections

127

Gov Shutdown

19

Epstein

31

Texas Senate

6

Primaries

178

China

40

Brazil

15

Hungary Election

13

Slovenia Election

7

Colombia Election

6

German Elections

4

French Elections

1

Venezuela

38

Courts

25

US Election

147

Trade War

11

Congress

40

Mayoral Elections

4

Cabinet

7

Senate

8

Israel

94

Canada

25

Trade War

Trade War

Will Trump visit China by...? card icon

Will Trump visit China by...?

June 30

81%

Yes81%No19%

May 31

79%

Yes79%No21%

$14M Vol.

NCAA Tournament

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31? card icon

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

5–15%

97%

Yes97%No3%

15–25%

3%

Yes3%No97%

$993K Vol.

US x Cuba economic deal by...? card icon

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

June 30

39%

Yes39%No61%

April 30

22%

Yes22%No78%

$68K Vol.

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? card icon

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

55%

chance

Yes

No

$55K Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? card icon

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

45%

chance

Yes

No

$323K Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? card icon

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

India

25%

Yes25%No75%

Brazil

25%

Yes25%No75%

$140K Vol.

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? card icon

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

<1%

chance

Yes

No

$397K Vol.

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31? card icon

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$25K Vol.

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June? card icon

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

$60

62%

Yes62%No38%

$65

61%

Yes61%No39%

$207K Vol.

Monthly
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? card icon

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

98%

chance

Yes

No

$61K Vol.

US Trade Deficit in 2026? card icon

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B

33%

Yes33%No67%

900B–1T

28%

Yes28%No72%

NEW

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