Elevated euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has anchored trader consensus around a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to prevent second-round effects, aligning with market-implied rate paths that price additional hikes later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift resolution to the regional conflict that eases energy costs, or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction, could still alter the outlook ahead of the decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트25 bps Increase 95%
No change 4.7%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$492,618 거래량
$492,618 거래량
2026.06.11
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
5%
25 bps Increase
95%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps Increase 95%
No change 4.7%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$492,618 거래량
$492,618 거래량
2026.06.11
50+ bps decrease
$98,708 거래량
<1%
25 bps decrease
$100,778 거래량
<1%
No change
$98,393 거래량
5%
25 bps Increase
$113,582 거래량
95%
50+ bps increase
$81,546 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Elevated euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has anchored trader consensus around a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to prevent second-round effects, aligning with market-implied rate paths that price additional hikes later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift resolution to the regional conflict that eases energy costs, or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction, could still alter the outlook ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$492,618종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Elevated euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has anchored trader consensus around a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to prevent second-round effects, aligning with market-implied rate paths that price additional hikes later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift resolution to the regional conflict that eases energy costs, or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction, could still alter the outlook ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
거래량
$492,618종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, has anchored trader consensus around a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April meeting minutes underscore upside risks to price stability and the need for policy tightening to prevent second-round effects, aligning with market-implied rate paths that price additional hikes later in 2026. This positioning reflects real-capital bets on persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns. A swift resolution to the regional conflict that eases energy costs, or incoming data showing faster disinflation and sharper economic contraction, could still alter the outlook ahead of the decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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