Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have run near $57–60 billion, with the 12-month total through March 2026 at roughly $700 billion, reflecting lower imports following 2025 tariff increases and supply-chain adjustments. CBO projections indicate the deficit as a share of GDP will continue narrowing in 2026 as import growth slows relative to exports, supported by dollar depreciation and reduced reliance on certain trading partners. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 800–900 billion range because annual outcomes remain sensitive to the pace of tariff-driven import substitution, export recovery amid global demand shifts, and broader macroeconomic balances between saving and investment. Further data releases on import volumes, currency movements, and any adjustments to reciprocal trade agreements could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading brackets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,010 거래량
$21,010 거래량
2027.02.28
<5,000억 달러
7%
5,000억~6,000억
5%
6,000억~7,000억
4%
7,000억~8,000억
9%
8,000억~9,000억
48%
9,000억~1조
42%
1조–1.1조
9%
1.1조+
5%
$21,010 거래량
$21,010 거래량
2027.02.28
<5,000억 달러
$16,638 거래량
7%
5,000억~6,000억
$413 거래량
5%
6,000억~7,000억
$435 거래량
4%
7,000억~8,000억
$456 거래량
9%
8,000억~9,000억
$1,008 거래량
48%
9,000억~1조
$979 거래량
42%
1조–1.1조
$447 거래량
9%
1.1조+
$635 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have run near $57–60 billion, with the 12-month total through March 2026 at roughly $700 billion, reflecting lower imports following 2025 tariff increases and supply-chain adjustments. CBO projections indicate the deficit as a share of GDP will continue narrowing in 2026 as import growth slows relative to exports, supported by dollar depreciation and reduced reliance on certain trading partners. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 800–900 billion range because annual outcomes remain sensitive to the pace of tariff-driven import substitution, export recovery amid global demand shifts, and broader macroeconomic balances between saving and investment. Further data releases on import volumes, currency movements, and any adjustments to reciprocal trade agreements could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading brackets.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$21,010종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have run near $57–60 billion, with the 12-month total through March 2026 at roughly $700 billion, reflecting lower imports following 2025 tariff increases and supply-chain adjustments. CBO projections indicate the deficit as a share of GDP will continue narrowing in 2026 as import growth slows relative to exports, supported by dollar depreciation and reduced reliance on certain trading partners. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 800–900 billion range because annual outcomes remain sensitive to the pace of tariff-driven import substitution, export recovery amid global demand shifts, and broader macroeconomic balances between saving and investment. Further data releases on import volumes, currency movements, and any adjustments to reciprocal trade agreements could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading brackets.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
거래량
$21,010종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. goods and services deficits have run near $57–60 billion, with the 12-month total through March 2026 at roughly $700 billion, reflecting lower imports following 2025 tariff increases and supply-chain adjustments. CBO projections indicate the deficit as a share of GDP will continue narrowing in 2026 as import growth slows relative to exports, supported by dollar depreciation and reduced reliance on certain trading partners. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 800–900 billion range because annual outcomes remain sensitive to the pace of tariff-driven import substitution, export recovery amid global demand shifts, and broader macroeconomic balances between saving and investment. Further data releases on import volumes, currency movements, and any adjustments to reciprocal trade agreements could widen or narrow the gap between the two leading brackets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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