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icon for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner

icon for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner

$13,433 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,433 Vol.

Tom Horne

$4,033 Vol.

No

Kimberly Yee

$9,400 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Tom Horne and state Treasurer Kimberly Yee remain locked in a tight Republican primary for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction, with the July 21 vote just weeks away and early ballots already distributed. Recent negative advertising funded by an outside group targeting Yee has drawn condemnation from both candidates and former superintendents, while Yee has secured endorsements from four prior Republican officeholders emphasizing her fiscal and education policy record. The pair has also clashed publicly over credit for technology improvements in the Empowerment Scholarship Accounts program. These late-cycle developments, combined with Horne’s incumbency and narrow 2022 win, sustain the even trader consensus reflected in current market pricing ahead of primary results.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,433
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Tom Horne and state Treasurer Kimberly Yee remain locked in a tight Republican primary for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction, with the July 21 vote just weeks away and early ballots already distributed. Recent negative advertising funded by an outside group targeting Yee has drawn condemnation from both candidates and former superintendents, while Yee has secured endorsements from four prior Republican officeholders emphasizing her fiscal and education policy record. The pair has also clashed publicly over credit for technology improvements in the Empowerment Scholarship Accounts program. These late-cycle developments, combined with Horne’s incumbency and narrow 2022 win, sustain the even trader consensus reflected in current market pricing ahead of primary results.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,433
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimberly Yee" at 100%, followed by "Tom Horne" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner" has generated $13.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner" is "Kimberly Yee" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Horne" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.