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Politics·US Election

MO-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MO-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·US Election

MO-05 Republican Primary Winner

Rick Brattin 100.0%

Berton A. Knox <1%

Micah Beebe <1%

Taylor Burks <1%

Polymarket

$18,564 Vol.

Rick Brattin 100.0%

Berton A. Knox <1%

Micah Beebe <1%

Taylor Burks <1%

Polymarket

$18,564 Vol.

icon for Berton A. Knox

Berton A. Knox

$535 Vol.

No

icon for Micah Beebe

Micah Beebe

$750 Vol.

No

icon for Rick Brattin

Rick Brattin

$8,992 Vol.

Yes

icon for Taylor Burks

Taylor Burks

$4,240 Vol.

No

icon for Brett Hueffmeier

Brett Hueffmeier

$3,793 Vol.

No

icon for Brad Patty

Brad Patty

$254 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 5th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, reflecting trader consensus around his commanding position. A late endorsement from President Trump provided a decisive boost in the final days, helping him outperform a crowded field that included Taylor Burks, Brett Hueffmeier, and others. Brattin’s background as a state senator, former House member, and Marine veteran, combined with the district’s redrawn lines favoring GOP candidates, reinforced his frontrunner status. Vote tallies showed him leading with roughly 45 percent as results came in. While the primary outcome now appears settled, any lingering uncertainty over final certification or legal challenges related to district boundaries could theoretically affect resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,564
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 5th Congressional District in the August 4 primary, reflecting trader consensus around his commanding position. A late endorsement from President Trump provided a decisive boost in the final days, helping him outperform a crowded field that included Taylor Burks, Brett Hueffmeier, and others. Brattin’s background as a state senator, former House member, and Marine veteran, combined with the district’s redrawn lines favoring GOP candidates, reinforced his frontrunner status. Vote tallies showed him leading with roughly 45 percent as results came in. While the primary outcome now appears settled, any lingering uncertainty over final certification or legal challenges related to district boundaries could theoretically affect resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,564
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MO-05 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rick Brattin" at 100%, followed by "Berton A. Knox" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MO-05 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $18.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MO-05 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MO-05 Republican Primary Winner" is "Rick Brattin" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Berton A. Knox" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MO-05 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.