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Elections·US Election

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·US Election

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Mallory McMorrow 54%

Abdul El-Sayed 34%

Haley Stevens 14%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$225,149 Vol.

Mallory McMorrow 54%

Abdul El-Sayed 34%

Haley Stevens 14%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$225,149 Vol.

Mallory McMorrow

$23,710 Vol.

54%

Abdul El-Sayed

$78,327 Vol.

34%

Haley Stevens

$16,522 Vol.

14%

Rashida Tlaib

$10,901 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$9,908 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$9,125 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$52,416 Vol.

<1%

Dana Nessel

$10,205 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$14,035 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 53.5% to win Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by her surge in recent polls like the Global Strategy Group survey released March 25 showing her leading 30%-25%-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds at 21%. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement, alongside others from Sens. Murphy, Heinrich, and Welch, has amplified McMorrow's momentum from grassroots roadtripping and national profile. El-Sayed holds steady at 33.5% with progressive appeal but faces backlash over rallies with Israel critic Hasan Piker, while Stevens lags at 13.5% despite top fundraising. The August 4 primary remains fluid with polling averages tightly clustered.

Trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 53.5% to win Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by her surge in recent polls like the Global Strategy Group survey released March 25 showing her leading 30%-25%-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds at 21%. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement, alongside others from Sens. Murphy, Heinrich, and Welch, has amplified McMorrow's momentum from grassroots roadtripping and national profile. El-Sayed holds steady at 33.5% with progressive appeal but faces backlash over rallies with Israel critic Hasan Piker, while Stevens lags at 13.5% despite top fundraising. The August 4 primary remains fluid with polling averages tightly clustered.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 53.5% to win Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by her surge in recent polls like the Global Strategy Group survey released March 25 showing her leading 30%-25%-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds at 21%. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement, alongside others from Sens. Murphy, Heinrich, and Welch, has amplified McMorrow's momentum from grassroots roadtripping and national profile. El-Sayed holds steady at 33.5% with progressive appeal but faces backlash over rallies with Israel critic Hasan Piker, while Stevens lags at 13.5% despite top fundraising. The August 4 primary remains fluid with polling averages tightly clustered.

Trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 53.5% to win Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by her surge in recent polls like the Global Strategy Group survey released March 25 showing her leading 30%-25%-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds at 21%. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement, alongside others from Sens. Murphy, Heinrich, and Welch, has amplified McMorrow's momentum from grassroots roadtripping and national profile. El-Sayed holds steady at 33.5% with progressive appeal but faces backlash over rallies with Israel critic Hasan Piker, while Stevens lags at 13.5% despite top fundraising. The August 4 primary remains fluid with polling averages tightly clustered.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mallory McMorrow" at 54%, followed by "Abdul El-Sayed" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $225.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Mallory McMorrow" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.